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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Moody's MCO

United States Financial Services
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
468.70 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 561.90 (+19.9%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold or buy on pullbacks; quality and growth justify the premium, but the valuation offers no margin of safety.

Moody's Corporation is a credit rating agency and financial analytics provider that generates revenue from subscriptions and fees for rating corporate and sovereign debt. Moody's shows exceptional quality with an ROE of 76.93% and an operating margin of 49.47%, supported by earnings growth of 56.70%. The valuation, with a P/E of 30.12, is demanding but consistent with its moat and cash generation. The rise in US rates is a factor to watch, but its moderate leverage (ND/EBITDA of 1.51) limits the impact.

Financial health
7.3
Quality / Moat
9.3
Valuation
5.2
Growth
8.5
Dividend
4.9
Momentum
5.6
Risk & Context
4.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E30.12
Fwd P/E24.77
EV/EBITDA21.57
P/B26.83
P/S9.95
PEG1.64
Market cap81.17 B USD
Enterprise value87.43 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)37.9%
Gross margin74.97%
FCF conversion64%
Operating margin49.47%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE76.93%
ROA15.62%
Net margin34.25%
FCF2.58 B USD
FCF yield3.18%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt7.62 B USD
Net debt6.12 B USD
Cash1.50 B USD
EBITDA4.05 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.51
D/E240.68
Current ratio1.19
Quick ratio1.04
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth15.10%
Earnings growth56.70%
EPS (TTM)15.78 USD
EPS (Fwd)18.92 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.88%
Payout25.0%
Beta1.33
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price561.90 USD
52-week range402.28 USD – 546.88 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is a slowdown in debt markets that reduces issuance and, therefore, rating fees, impacting revenue growth. Additionally, rising US rates could compress valuation multiples for a company with a high P/E.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Moody's Corporation is a credit rating agency and financial analytics provider that generates revenue from subscriptions and fees for rating corporate and sovereign debt. Moody's shows exceptional quality with an ROE of 76.93% and an operating margin of 49.47%, supported by earnings growth of 56.70%. The valuation, with a P/E of 30.12, is demanding but consistent with its moat and cash generation. The rise in US rates is a factor to watch, but its moderate leverage (ND/EBITDA of 1.51) limits the impact.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.3
Quality / Moat9.3
Valuation5.2
Growth8.5
Dividend4.9
Momentum5.6
Risk & Context4.7

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Moody's credit rating and analysis business has no direct exposure to crude oil prices, shipping routes, or tariffs. The rise in US interest rates (10-year at 5.17%) is a relevant factor for the financial sector in general, but Moody's, with a Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.51, is not excessively leveraged, and its subscription and fee model is less sensitive to duration than a high-growth company without earnings. Therefore, the macro context has no material specific impact on this company.

News considered in the analysis

  • Moody’s cuts Botswana credit rating to Baa2, shifts outlook to stable — Actividad rutinaria de calificación soberana; refuerza la posición de Moody's como agencia, pero no altera sus fundamentales.
  • Moody’s lifts Montenegro’s credit rating to Ba2 amid institutional reforms — Acción de calificación soberana de bajo impacto individual; refleja el negocio recurrente de la compañía.
  • Moody’s affirms European Union’s Aaa credit rating with stable outlook — Confirmación de calificación; sin impacto material en los resultados de Moody's.
  • Moody’s affirms Fiji at B1 with stable outlook as savings cushion debt — Acción de calificación soberana menor; no aporta información nueva relevante para la valoración.
  • These 4 Dividend Stocks Turn Customer Loyalty Into Growing Income — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Moody's; se ignora.

Verdict: Hold or buy on pullbacks; quality and growth justify the premium, but the valuation offers no margin of safety.

Main risk: The main risk is a slowdown in debt markets that reduces issuance and, therefore, rating fees, impacting revenue growth. Additionally, rising US rates could compress valuation multiples for a company with a high P/E.

Other Financial Services companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.