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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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National Grid NG.L

United Kingdom Utilities
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
11.36 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 13.45 (+18.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, given the high leverage and pressure from interest rates, despite regulatory stability.

National Grid is a British utility that operates electricity and gas transmission and distribution networks in the UK and the northeastern US, with revenues regulated by tariffs. National Grid has weak financial health (net debt/EBITDA of 6.39) and a very low dividend yield (0.04%), although its operating margin is solid (32.6%). The rise in long-term interest rates pressures its valuation and makes its debt more expensive.

Financial health
5.6
Quality / Moat
4.4
Valuation
4.6
Growth
5.6
Dividend
3.5
Momentum
5.7
Risk & Context
7.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.47
Fwd P/E11.63
EV/EBITDA14.37
P/B1.44
P/S3.23
PEG0.96
Market cap57.09 B GBP
Enterprise value100.98 B GBP
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.6%
Gross margin100.00%
FCF conversion-44%
Operating margin32.60%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE8.41%
ROA3.01%
Net margin18.32%
FCF-3.13 B GBP
FCF yield-5.47%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt47.71 B GBP
Net debt44.88 B GBP
Cash2.83 B GBP
EBITDA7.03 B GBP
Net debt / EBITDA6.39
D/E121.29
Current ratio0.76
Quick ratio0.65
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.00%
Earnings growth14.40%
EPS (TTM)0.65 GBP
EPS (Fwd)0.98 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.04%
Payout72.1%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Target price13.45 GBP
52-week range10.47 GBP – 14.29 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: The high leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 6.39) and sensitivity to long-term interest rates, which make its debt more expensive and reduce the value of its regulated cash flows.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

National Grid is a British utility that operates electricity and gas transmission and distribution networks in the UK and the northeastern US, with revenues regulated by tariffs. National Grid has weak financial health (net debt/EBITDA of 6.39) and a very low dividend yield (0.04%), although its operating margin is solid (32.6%). The rise in long-term interest rates pressures its valuation and makes its debt more expensive.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.6
Quality / Moat4.4
Valuation4.6
Growth5.6
Dividend3.5
Momentum5.7
Risk & Context7.8

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and the expectation of higher-for-longer rates in the UK pressure the value of National Grid's long-term regulated cash flows. However, as a regulated utility, the impact is mitigated by the tariff adjustment mechanism, so the penalty is moderate.

News considered in the analysis

  • 3 UK Utility Stocks for More Predictable Cash Flows — Listado genérico sin información específica sobre National Grid.
  • 3 UK Dividend Stocks Worth Watching While Interest Rates Stay On Hold — Listado genérico sin información específica sobre National Grid.
  • European Equities Traded in US as ADRs Rise in Wednesday Trading — Movimiento de mercado sin información específica sobre National Grid.
  • After Plunging 7.8% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for National Grid (NGG) — Artículo de análisis técnico que sugiere un posible rebote tras una caída reciente; impacto moderado y especulativo.
  • NGG or ORA: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? — Comparativa genérica de valor sin información concluyente sobre National Grid.

Verdict: Hold, given the high leverage and pressure from interest rates, despite regulatory stability.

Main risk: The high leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 6.39) and sensitivity to long-term interest rates, which make its debt more expensive and reduce the value of its regulated cash flows.

Other Utilities companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.