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Ørsted ORSTED.CO

Denmark Utilities
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
135.20 DKK
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 172.30 (+27.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the favorable UK tax resolution reduces one risk, but return on capital and cash generation remain very weak.

Ørsted is a Danish leader in renewable energy, dedicated to the development, construction, and operation of offshore and onshore wind farms, as well as energy storage solutions. Ørsted shows solid financial health (score 8.41) with low leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 0.86), but its quality is weak (ROE -1.41%, cash conversion -85.32%) and earnings growth is deeply negative (-94.6%), which undermines its appeal despite 20.5% revenue growth.

Financial health
8.4
Quality / Moat
2.8
Valuation
4.7
Growth
5.0
Dividend
1.4
Momentum
6.5
Risk & Context
7.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E14.41
EV/EBITDA8.66
P/B1.45
P/S2.13
PEG0.49
Market cap178.61 B DKK
Enterprise value210.11 B DKK
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.0%
Gross margin44.92%
FCF conversion-85%
Operating margin13.40%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-1.41%
ROA2.92%
Net margin-2.88%
FCF-20.70 B DKK
FCF yield-11.59%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt101.41 B DKK
Net debt20.79 B DKK
Cash80.61 B DKK
EBITDA24.26 B DKK
Net debt / EBITDA0.86
D/E66.60
Current ratio2.11
Quick ratio1.84
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth20.50%
Earnings growth-94.60%
EPS (TTM)-6.10 DKK
EPS (Fwd)9.38 DKK
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.62
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price172.30 DKK
52-week range110.05 DKK – 172.20 DKK
⚠️ Main risk: Negative free cash flow conversion (-85.32%) and negative ROE (-1.41%) indicate the business is not generating sufficient returns on invested capital, a structural risk to long-term value creation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Ørsted is a Danish leader in renewable energy, dedicated to the development, construction, and operation of offshore and onshore wind farms, as well as energy storage solutions. Ørsted shows solid financial health (score 8.41) with low leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 0.86), but its quality is weak (ROE -1.41%, cash conversion -85.32%) and earnings growth is deeply negative (-94.6%), which undermines its appeal despite 20.5% revenue growth.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.4
Quality / Moat2.8
Valuation4.7
Growth5.0
Dividend1.4
Momentum6.5
Risk & Context7.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year yields (5.17%) increases the cost of capital for capex-intensive projects like Ørsted's offshore wind farms, whose free cash flow conversion is negative. The long duration of its cash flows amplifies rate sensitivity, though low leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 0.86) limits the impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • Ørsted receives final opinion regarding taxation of UK offshore wind farms — Opinión fiscal favorable del Reino Unido sobre dos parques eólicos marinos; reduce la exposición fiscal y mejora la visibilidad de los flujos de caja de estos activos.
  • Orsted Gets Commission Backing in U.K. Tax Case — Respaldo de la Comisión en el caso fiscal del Reino Unido; refuerza la posición de Ørsted y reduce el riesgo de un desenlace adverso.
  • Ørsted Gets Favorable Tax Opinion on Two UK Offshore Wind Farms — Confirmación de una opinión fiscal favorable; mitiga un riesgo regulatorio concreto y apoya la rentabilidad de los activos británicos.
  • 3 European Renewable Energy Stocks Riding The Grid Spending Boom — Artículo genérico sobre el auge del gasto en redes; menciona a Ørsted como beneficiaria, pero no aporta información nueva específica.
  • ORLEN and partners launch Baltic Energy Initiative — Iniciativa de ORLEN y socios; no menciona a Ørsted y no tiene impacto directo en su negocio.

Verdict: Hold; the favorable UK tax resolution reduces one risk, but return on capital and cash generation remain very weak.

Main risk: Negative free cash flow conversion (-85.32%) and negative ROE (-1.41%) indicate the business is not generating sufficient returns on invested capital, a structural risk to long-term value creation.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.