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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Annaly Capital Management NLY

United States Real Estate
6.0/10
AI Analyst score
20.61 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 24.23 (+17.6%)
🛒 Where to buy NLYPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold or reduce: the dividend is attractive but the risk of margin compression from high rates and extreme leverage make the position vulnerable.

Annaly Capital Management is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, funding itself with short-term debt to capture the net interest margin. Annaly Capital Management is an mREIT with extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 737.54) and a 14.56% dividend that depends on a net interest margin compressed by rates at 5.17%. Revenue growth of 479.40% is unsustainable and financial health is fragile, though a P/B of 1.02 and ROE of 19.57% offer some appeal.

Financial health
2.8
Quality / Moat
5.0
Valuation
7.5
Growth
9.5
Dividend
8.5
Momentum
7.7
Risk & Context
4.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E4.98
Fwd P/E6.63
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B1.02
P/S4.77
PEG0.19
Market cap15.53 B USD
Enterprise value142.13 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)2.1%
Gross margin97.97%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin91.65%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE19.57%
ROA2.33%
Net margin90.68%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt125.22 B USD
Net debt124.74 B USD
Cash480.4 M USD
EBITDAN/D
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/E737.54
Current ratio0.56
Quick ratio0.53
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth479.40%
Earnings growth3426.00%
EPS (TTM)4.14 USD
EPS (Fwd)3.11 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield14.56%
Payout68.8%
Beta1.24
Analyst consensusBuy (11)
Target price24.23 USD
52-week range20.00 USD – 24.52 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 737.54) and short-term funding: a sustained rise in rates compresses the net interest margin and could force dividend cuts or liquidity problems.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Annaly Capital Management is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, funding itself with short-term debt to capture the net interest margin. Annaly Capital Management is an mREIT with extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 737.54) and a 14.56% dividend that depends on a net interest margin compressed by rates at 5.17%. Revenue growth of 479.40% is unsustainable and financial health is fragile, though a P/B of 1.02 and ROE of 19.57% offer some appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health2.8
Quality / Moat5.0
Valuation7.5
Growth9.5
Dividend8.5
Momentum7.7
Risk & Context4.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.0/10

Context and risks

mREIT with extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 737.54) and short-term funding: the rise in 10-year Treasury rates to 5.17% compresses the net interest margin and makes debt rollover more expensive. Additionally, the fall in gold and risk aversion in tech do not directly affect it, but the high-rate environment is the dominant risk for its model.

News considered in the analysis

  • Why Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today — Caída relativa al mercado, refleja sensibilidad a tipos y compresión de márgenes, parcialmente descontada.
  • Here's How Much Income $25,000 Invested in This 13%-Yielding Dividend Stock Generates. History Says Don't Count on It Staying That Way. — Advierte sobre la sostenibilidad del dividendo en un ciclo de tipos, riesgo ya conocido por el mercado.
  • Is Annaly Capital Management (NLY) A Bargain On Its Fresh Dividend Signal? — Análisis especulativo sobre el dividendo, sin información nueva material.
  • Annaly Capital Management (NLY) Stock Looks Undervalued On Its Earnings Power — Señala posible infravaloración por capacidad de ganancia, visión optimista sin catalizador concreto.
  • Is Annaly Capital's 13% Dividend Safe Through a Full Rate Cycle? — Cuestiona la seguridad del dividendo ante un ciclo completo de tipos, riesgo relevante para el negocio.

Verdict: Hold or reduce: the dividend is attractive but the risk of margin compression from high rates and extreme leverage make the position vulnerable.

Main risk: Extreme leverage (Debt/Equity 737.54) and short-term funding: a sustained rise in rates compresses the net interest margin and could force dividend cuts or liquidity problems.

Other Real Estate companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.