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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Paychex PAYX

United States Technology
7.2/10
AI Analyst score
101.37 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 113.93 (+12.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: defensive quality at a fair price, with an attractive 4.70% dividend and no material macro risks.

Paychex is a provider of payroll, HR, and benefits solutions for small and medium-sized businesses in the US. Paychex shows solid financial health (score 7.29) with low debt (ND/EBITDA 1.20x) and exceptional quality (ROIC 30.41%, ROE 47.05%), although its 5.90% revenue growth is moderate and the 90.08% payout limits room for dividend increases.

Financial health
7.3
Quality / Moat
9.0
Valuation
6.5
Growth
6.3
Dividend
6.3
Momentum
6.4
Risk & Context
7.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E20.11
Fwd P/E15.87
EV/EBITDA12.92
P/B9.65
P/S5.47
PEG1.89
Market cap36.09 B USD
Enterprise value39.77 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)30.4%
Gross margin74.39%
FCF conversion61%
Operating margin38.50%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE47.05%
ROA10.19%
Net margin27.35%
FCF1.89 B USD
FCF yield5.23%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt4.62 B USD
Net debt3.69 B USD
Cash934.2 M USD
EBITDA3.08 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.20
D/E124.70
Current ratio1.28
Quick ratio0.52
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.90%
Earnings growth13.90%
EPS (TTM)5.04 USD
EPS (Fwd)6.39 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.70%
Payout90.1%
Beta0.81
Analyst consensusHold (14)
Target price113.93 USD
52-week range85.45 USD – 130.32 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Slow revenue growth (5.90%) and a high payout (90.08%) limit the ability to accelerate the dividend, in an environment where the market penalizes moderate-growth companies.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Paychex is a provider of payroll, HR, and benefits solutions for small and medium-sized businesses in the US. Paychex shows solid financial health (score 7.29) with low debt (ND/EBITDA 1.20x) and exceptional quality (ROIC 30.41%, ROE 47.05%), although its 5.90% revenue growth is moderate and the 90.08% payout limits room for dividend increases.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.3
Quality / Moat9.0
Valuation6.5
Growth6.3
Dividend6.3
Momentum6.4
Risk & Context7.3

OVERALL SCORE: 7.2/10

Context and risks

No material exposure to interest rates (net debt/EBITDA of 1.20x), commodities, or direct geopolitical risks. The payroll and HR business is defensive and unaffected by the oil rally or Middle East tensions.

News considered in the analysis

  • These 4 Dividend Stocks Turn Customer Loyalty Into Growing Income — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Paychex.
  • Beyond the Sell‑Off: Why Paychex (PAYX)’s PEO Engine Still Matters — Análisis positivo del motor PEO, que refuerza la tesis de crecimiento a largo plazo, aunque el mercado ya lo descuenta parcialmente.
  • Paychex (PAYX) Beats EPS Estimates, But Slow Growth Weighs on Shares — Resultados que superan estimaciones pero con crecimiento lento; la reacción del precio ya refleja la decepción.
  • Why Paychex Stock Slumped This Week — La caída semanal ya está descontada en el precio actual.
  • Paychex Plunges, Providing the Entry Investors Have Been Waiting For — Opinión de que la caída es una oportunidad de compra; refuerza el atractivo valorativo, aunque es una opinión de analista.

Verdict: Hold: defensive quality at a fair price, with an attractive 4.70% dividend and no material macro risks.

Main risk: Slow revenue growth (5.90%) and a high payout (90.08%) limit the ability to accelerate the dividend, in an environment where the market penalizes moderate-growth companies.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.