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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Progressive PGR

United States Financial Services
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
205.50 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 231.38 (+12.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; strong profitability and reasonable valuation offset weak momentum and low dividend.

Progressive Corporation is a US auto and other vehicle insurer, distinguished by its intensive use of data and predictive analytics for pricing and risk management, allowing it to gain market share profitably. Progressive shows excellent financial health (ROE 34.94%) and attractive valuation (P/E 10.31), although its growth is moderate and momentum is weak (score 3.55).

Financial health
8.9
Quality / Moat
6.4
Valuation
7.1
Growth
5.8
Dividend
3.8
Momentum
3.5
Risk & Context
9.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E10.31
Fwd P/E0.20
EV/EBITDA8.16
P/B3.48
P/S1.31
PEG0.04
Market cap119.27 B USD
Enterprise value125.70 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)38.8%
Gross margin18.52%
FCF conversion98%
Operating margin18.21%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE34.94%
ROA7.84%
Net margin12.85%
FCF15.11 B USD
FCF yield12.67%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt8.39 B USD
Net debt6.23 B USD
Cash2.16 B USD
EBITDA15.40 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.40
D/E24.43
Current ratio0.29
Quick ratio0.23
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.30%
Earnings growth5.00%
EPS (TTM)19.93 USD
EPS (Fwd)1,012.00 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.19%
Payout69.7%
Beta0.26
Analyst consensusHold (21)
Target price231.38 USD
52-week range189.20 USD – 248.17 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is intense competition in the auto insurance market, which could pressure margins (currently 18.21%) and premium growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Progressive Corporation is a US auto and other vehicle insurer, distinguished by its intensive use of data and predictive analytics for pricing and risk management, allowing it to gain market share profitably. Progressive shows excellent financial health (ROE 34.94%) and attractive valuation (P/E 10.31), although its growth is moderate and momentum is weak (score 3.55).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.9
Quality / Moat6.4
Valuation7.1
Growth5.8
Dividend3.8
Momentum3.5
Risk & Context9.1

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rising rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect Progressive's business. As an auto insurer, its exposure to rates is indirect and its business model does not depend on commodities or shipping routes.

News considered in the analysis

  • Reflecting On Property & Casualty Insurance Stocks’ Q2 Earnings: Progressive (NYSE:PGR) — Resumen genérico de resultados del sector sin información nueva sobre PGR.
  • Arch Capital Lags Industry, Trades at a Discount: Time to Hold or Exit? — Noticia sobre un competidor (Arch Capital), sin impacto directo en PGR.
  • 2 S&P 500 Stocks Worth Your Attention and 1 We Find Risky — Listículo sin información específica y accionable sobre PGR.
  • Progressive (PGR) Stock Could Still Be A Bargain On Earnings — Artículo de opinión que sugiere que la acción está barata tras los resultados; refuerza la visión de valoración atractiva.
  • Progressive (PGR) Stock Moves -2.48%: What You Should Know — Movimiento de precio del día sin catalizador fundamental identificado; ruido de mercado.

Verdict: Hold; strong profitability and reasonable valuation offset weak momentum and low dividend.

Main risk: The main risk is intense competition in the auto insurance market, which could pressure margins (currently 18.21%) and premium growth.

Other Financial Services companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.