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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rocket Lab RKLB

United States Industrials
2.9/10
AI Analyst score
73.95 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 109.37 (+47.9%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold only with high risk tolerance; the growth thesis is real but the price already discounts years of flawless execution.

Rocket Lab is an aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and launches rockets (Electron and the future Neutron) and provides satellite solutions and mission management systems for government and commercial customers. Rocket Lab is growing at an exceptional pace (revenue +62%) with strong momentum (8.64), but valuation is extreme (forward P/E 1623, P/S 61.48) and financial health is fragile (ND/EBITDA 14.41, operating margin -24.57%), making it highly vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Financial health
3.4
Quality / Moat
2.0
Valuation
0.3
Growth
10.0
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
8.6
Risk & Context
0.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E1623.13
EV/EBITDA-279.56
P/B12.67
P/S61.48
PEGN/D
Market cap47.28 B USD
Enterprise value42.08 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-4.9%
Gross margin37.26%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin-24.57%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-7.92%
ROA-4.62%
Net margin-21.51%
FCF-252.0 M USD
FCF yield-0.53%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt133.7 M USD
Net debt-2.17 B USD
Cash2.30 B USD
EBITDA-150.5 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA14.41
D/E3.83
Current ratio5.48
Quick ratio4.80
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth62.00%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)-0.27 USD
EPS (Fwd)0.05 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta2.61
Analyst consensusnone (19)
Target price109.37 USD
52-week range37.57 USD – 151.00 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The combination of net debt/EBITDA of 14.41 and a negative operating margin (-24.57%) leaves Rocket Lab highly exposed to any financing stress, compounded by a valuation that demands years of impeccable growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Rocket Lab is an aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and launches rockets (Electron and the future Neutron) and provides satellite solutions and mission management systems for government and commercial customers. Rocket Lab is growing at an exceptional pace (revenue +62%) with strong momentum (8.64), but valuation is extreme (forward P/E 1623, P/S 61.48) and financial health is fragile (ND/EBITDA 14.41, operating margin -24.57%), making it highly vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.4
Quality / Moat2.0
Valuation0.3
Growth10.0
Dividend1.5
Momentum8.6
Risk & Context0.4

OVERALL SCORE: 2.9/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year yields (5.17%) penalizes long-duration companies like Rocket Lab, whose forward P/E of 1623 reflects value concentrated in distant future cash flows. Geopolitical tension with Iran adds pressure to the risk premium of the tech/aerospace sector.

News considered in the analysis

  • Major Milestone Passed In Iridium/Rocket Lab Tie Up — El hito en la alianza con Iridium valida el negocio de fabricación de satélites y abre una vía de ingresos recurrente más allá del lanzamiento.
  • Prediction: The Next Chapter of the Space Race Could Be Very Good for Rocket Lab — Artículo de opinión optimista sobre el futuro de la carrera espacial; refuerza el sentimiento pero no aporta información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • Prediction: This Space Stock Will Outperform SpaceX Over the Next 10 Years — Predicción especulativa a 10 años; sin datos concretos, solo refuerza el interés del mercado por el sector.
  • Stocktwits M&A Watch: PSKY, WBD, BP, DVN, RKLB, IRDM Stocks In Focus — Listado genérico de acciones en el radar de M&A; sin detalle específico sobre Rocket Lab.
  • The Opportunity Behind AST SpaceMobile Stock Is Hard to Ignore — Artículo sobre un competidor (AST SpaceMobile); sin impacto directo en Rocket Lab.

Verdict: Hold only with high risk tolerance; the growth thesis is real but the price already discounts years of flawless execution.

Main risk: The combination of net debt/EBITDA of 14.41 and a negative operating margin (-24.57%) leaves Rocket Lab highly exposed to any financing stress, compounded by a valuation that demands years of impeccable growth.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.