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Rollins ROL

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.8/10
AI Analyst score
30.03 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 44.53 (+48.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, pending how the company adapts to AI disruption in its customer acquisition channel.

Rollins, Inc. is a pest control services company operating primarily in the United States, offering residential and commercial pest management services through brands such as Orkin. Rollins shows exceptional quality (ROE 37.01, operating margin 18.80) and stable financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.16), but its growth is threatened by AI disruption in lead generation, which has caused a 36.83% drop in momentum and analyst downgrades.

Financial health
6.0
Quality / Moat
8.3
Valuation
4.6
Growth
4.9
Dividend
6.6
Momentum
1.2
Risk & Context
6.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E27.30
Fwd P/E23.20
EV/EBITDA17.87
P/B10.11
P/S3.68
PEG2.41
Market cap14.45 B USD
Enterprise value15.46 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)29.0%
Gross margin52.37%
FCF conversion58%
Operating margin18.80%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE37.01%
ROA14.06%
Net margin13.55%
FCF501.7 M USD
FCF yield3.47%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.12 B USD
Net debt1.01 B USD
Cash109.1 M USD
EBITDA865.0 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.16
D/E78.02
Current ratio0.63
Quick ratio0.42
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth7.90%
Earnings growth3.10%
EPS (TTM)1.10 USD
EPS (Fwd)1.29 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.43%
Payout64.9%
Beta0.74
Analyst consensusHold (17)
Target price44.53 USD
52-week range29.74 USD – 66.14 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Business model disruption from the shift to AI-driven lead generation, which is already affecting residential demand and could erode its competitive advantage.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Rollins, Inc. is a pest control services company operating primarily in the United States, offering residential and commercial pest management services through brands such as Orkin. Rollins shows exceptional quality (ROE 37.01, operating margin 18.80) and stable financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.16), but its growth is threatened by AI disruption in lead generation, which has caused a 36.83% drop in momentum and analyst downgrades.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.0
Quality / Moat8.3
Valuation4.6
Growth4.9
Dividend6.6
Momentum1.2
Risk & Context6.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.8/10

Context and risks

Risk of business model disruption due to the shift in lead generation towards AI, confirmed by the company itself and by Piper Sandler's downgrade. The 36.83% drop in momentum reflects the materialization of this risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Can AI Really Disrupt Pest Control? Wall Street Thinks So, and Rollins (ROL) Just Hit New Lows — La disrupción de la IA en la generación de leads es una amenaza creíble para el modelo de crecimiento de Rollins, ya que su negocio depende de la demanda residencial.
  • Rollins Says AI Search Shift Is Driving Volatile Residential Lead Trends — La confirmación de la propia empresa sobre la volatilidad en los leads residenciales debido a la IA es un hecho material que afecta directamente a su crecimiento.
  • Rollins (ROL) Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why — La caída de la acción ya refleja el sentimiento negativo del mercado; no aporta información nueva.
  • Piper Sandler cuts Rollins to Neutral, citing AI search disruption — La rebaja de un analista a Neutral por la disrupción de la IA refuerza la preocupación, pero es una opinión que ya está parcialmente en el precio.
  • Waste Management Returned 290% in a Decade. These 4 Stocks Share Its Boring Advantage — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Rollins.

Verdict: Hold, pending how the company adapts to AI disruption in its customer acquisition channel.

Main risk: Business model disruption from the shift to AI-driven lead generation, which is already affecting residential demand and could erode its competitive advantage.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.