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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rayonier RYN

United StatesReal Estate · REIT - SpecialtyUSD
4.6AI score
Rank 1,854 of 2,130
better than 13% of companies
17.99USD
▼ 21.1% in one year
RYN MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
25.33 USD (+40.8%)
6 analysts
52-wk low 17.71High 26.75
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

Rayonier Inc. is a REIT specializing in the ownership and management of timberlands in the United States and New Zealand, generating income from timber sales, land leases, and other uses of its assets.

Key points

from its scores
  • ✕Little competitive advantage2.5
  • ✕Little or no dividend3.0
  • ✕Poor share-price trend3.1

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

Operational deterioration, high leverage, and unsustainable dividend make Rayonier a high-risk option in the current rising-rate environment.

Rayonier has a leveraged balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.35) and a clearly deteriorating business: earnings are down -97.6% and the 231.52% payout is unsustainable, explaining its weak quality score (2.55) and pressure on the dividend. The rise in long-term US rates aggravates the cost of its debt and the valuation of its long-duration assets.

⚠ Main risk

The main risk is the combination of a highly leveraged balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.35) with a business in freefall (earnings -97.6%), which jeopardizes dividend sustainability (231.52% payout) and leaves the company highly exposed to higher debt costs.

Context and risks

Rayonier is a US timber REIT. The rise in long-term Treasury rates to 5.28% makes its financing more expensive and pressures the valuation of its long-duration assets, a material risk for a vehicle with Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.35. Weak timber prices and falling earnings reflect a difficult operating environment, with no direct impact from the current geopolitical context.

Is Rayonier stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Pricier than its sector

On P/E and Price / book, it trades 27% above the Real Estate median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E39.121.6+81%
EV / EBITDA20.218.5+9%
Price / book1.01.4−28%
Price / sales5.66.3−12%

Sector: median of the 100 Real Estate companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 4.7 out of 10 (median for Real Estate: 4.9).

Average analyst target: 25.33 USD, +40.8% versus the price.

A premium can be justified if the company is of higher quality or grows faster than its sector: Quality / Moat 2.5 (sector 5.2), Growth 5.5 (sector 5.7).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham13.11▼ −27% vs price
Cash flow (DCF)8.72▼ −52% vs price
Dividends36.40▲ +102% vs price
Price17.99at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy RYNCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiFair6.3Real Estate median: 5.5
Quality / MoatiPoor2.5Real Estate median: 5.2
ValuationiWeak4.7Real Estate median: 4.9
GrowthiFair5.5Real Estate median: 5.7
DividendiPoor3.0Real Estate median: 3.5
MomentumiPoor3.1Real Estate median: 5.5
Risk & ContextiFair6.2Real Estate median: 6.0
Real Estate median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Real Estate median
P/Ei
39.1
Real Estate: 21.6above
EV / EBITDAi
20.2
Real Estate: 18.5above
ROEi
2.0%
Real Estate: 8.0%below
Operating margini
11.8%
Real Estate: 41.8%below
Net debt / EBITDAi
4.35
Real Estate: 5.94below
Revenue growthi
+272.1%
Real Estate: +5.4%above

Valuation

P/E
39.1
Forward P/E
28.8
EV / EBITDA
20.2
Price / book
1.0
Price / sales
5.6
Market cap
5.4B USD
Enterprise value
6.9B USD

Profitability

ROE
2.0%
ROA
1.8%
ROIC (approx.)
1.6%
Gross margin
24.8%
Operating margin
11.8%
Net margin
7.8%
Free cash flow
111.0M USD
FCF yield
2.1%
Cash conversion
33%

Solvency

Total debt
1.9B USD
Net debt
1.5B USD
Cash
411.8M USD
EBITDA
340.5M USD
Net debt / EBITDA
4.35
Debt / equity
36.02
Current ratio
3.56
Quick ratio
2.49

Growth

Revenue growth
+272.1%
Earnings growth
−97.6%
EPS (TTM)
0.46 USD
EPS (forward)
0.62 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
5.8%
Payout
231.5%

Risk and market

Beta
0.92
Analyst consensus
Buy (6)
Target price
25.33 USD
52-week range
17.71 – 26.75

Compare it with its sector

All 100 in Real Estate →
See the full ranking with filters →

Keep browsing the ranking

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Frequently asked questions about Rayonier

Is Rayonier stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and Price / book, it trades 27% above the Real Estate median on average. Valuation score: 4.7 out of 10 (median for Real Estate: 4.9). Average analyst target: 25.33 USD, +40.8% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does Rayonier get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 4.6 out of 10, rank 1,854 of 2,130 (better than 13% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Financial health (6.3) and its weakest, Quality / Moat (2.5). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is Rayonier's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 39.1: the share price equals 39.1 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Real Estate median is 21.6. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 28.8.

How much is Rayonier worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 5.4B USD.

Does Rayonier pay a dividend?

Yes: its dividend yield is 5.78% and it pays out 232% of its earnings.

How has Rayonier stock performed over the last year?

It has fallen 21.1% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 17.71 and 26.75 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of Rayonier?

6 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 25.33 USD (+40.8% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.