⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA SCA-B.ST

Sweden Basic Materials
4.2/10
AI Analyst score
122.60 SEK
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 117.71 (-4.0%)
🛒 Where to buy SCA-B.STPartner brokers · Sweden · sample 200.00 € orderSweden
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🔴 SELL — Avoid: weak fundamentals and demanding valuation do not justify buying, despite the natural moat of the forestry business.

SCA is a Swedish forest company that produces paper, pulp, and hygiene products, managing its forests and selling renewable products. SCA presents weak fundamentals: ROE of 2.17%, ROIC of 0.76% and earnings growth of -51.90% reflect a deteriorating business, with a demanding valuation (P/E 38.80) not supported by current profitability. Financial health is mediocre (ND/EBITDA 4.74) and momentum is negative (-7.37%).

Financial health
4.6
Quality / Moat
3.9
Valuation
3.0
Growth
2.0
Dividend
4.2
Momentum
2.2
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E38.80
Fwd P/E18.52
EV/EBITDA31.44
P/B0.85
P/S3.76
PEG0.45
Market cap86.11 B SEK
Enterprise value102.00 B SEK
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)0.8%
Gross margin69.35%
FCF conversion38%
Operating margin3.90%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE2.17%
ROA0.52%
Net margin9.70%
FCF1.24 B SEK
FCF yield1.44%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt15.54 B SEK
Net debt15.38 B SEK
Cash162.0 M SEK
EBITDA3.24 B SEK
Net debt / EBITDA4.74
D/E15.36
Current ratio1.24
Quick ratio0.52
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-1.40%
Earnings growth-51.90%
EPS (TTM)3.16 SEK
EPS (Fwd)6.62 SEK
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.45%
Payout94.9%
Beta0.38
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Target price117.71 SEK
52-week range96.02 SEK – 129.60 SEK
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.74) with a low-return business (ROE 2.17%) and negative growth, which could lead to further deterioration of financial health if results do not improve.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

SCA is a Swedish forest company that produces paper, pulp, and hygiene products, managing its forests and selling renewable products. SCA presents weak fundamentals: ROE of 2.17%, ROIC of 0.76% and earnings growth of -51.90% reflect a deteriorating business, with a demanding valuation (P/E 38.80) not supported by current profitability. Financial health is mediocre (ND/EBITDA 4.74) and momentum is negative (-7.37%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.6
Quality / Moat3.9
Valuation3.0
Growth2.0
Dividend4.2
Momentum2.2
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 4.2/10

Context and risks

No recent relevant news. The macro context (rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect SCA: it is a Swedish forestry company with a defensive business, without direct exposure to interest rates, energy commodities or technology.

Verdict: Avoid: weak fundamentals and demanding valuation do not justify buying, despite the natural moat of the forestry business.

Main risk: The main risk is the combination of high leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.74) with a low-return business (ROE 2.17%) and negative growth, which could lead to further deterioration of financial health if results do not improve.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.