⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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First Quantum Minerals FM.TO

Canada Basic Materials
3.5/10
AI Analyst score
45.54 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 49.78 (+9.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution. The momentum is positive, but debt and business quality limit the upside potential.

First Quantum Minerals is a Canadian copper, nickel, and gold miner with operations in Zambia, Panama, Peru, and Spain, selling its production on global commodity markets. First Quantum Minerals shows strong revenue growth (24.1%) and exceptional momentum (64.01), but its financial health is fragile with net debt of 4.22x EBITDA and negative return on equity (ROE -1.24%). Valuation is demanding (EV/EBITDA 20.7) and the 700% earnings growth is unsustainable in the long term.

Financial health
4.7
Quality / Moat
1.8
Valuation
3.5
Growth
7.2
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
7.7
Risk & Context
1.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E15.87
EV/EBITDA20.70
P/B2.40
P/S4.67
PEG0.96
Market cap37.99 B CAD
Enterprise value33.72 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)3.1%
Gross margin23.51%
FCF conversion-6%
Operating margin10.31%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-1.24%
ROA2.09%
Net margin-1.44%
FCF-91.1 M USD
FCF yield-0.34%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt7.66 B USD
Net debt6.88 B USD
Cash779.0 M USD
EBITDA1.63 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA4.22
D/E66.09
Current ratio1.90
Quick ratio0.93
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth24.10%
Earnings growth700.00%
EPS (TTM)-0.13 CAD
EPS (Fwd)2.87 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta2.03
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Target price49.78 CAD
52-week range27.06 CAD – 49.27 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high debt (ND/EBITDA 4.22) in a rising interest rate environment, which could pressure the balance sheet and limit financial flexibility if the copper cycle weakens.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

First Quantum Minerals is a Canadian copper, nickel, and gold miner with operations in Zambia, Panama, Peru, and Spain, selling its production on global commodity markets. First Quantum Minerals shows strong revenue growth (24.1%) and exceptional momentum (64.01), but its financial health is fragile with net debt of 4.22x EBITDA and negative return on equity (ROE -1.24%). Valuation is demanding (EV/EBITDA 20.7) and the 700% earnings growth is unsustainable in the long term.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.7
Quality / Moat1.8
Valuation3.5
Growth7.2
Dividend1.5
Momentum7.7
Risk & Context1.6

OVERALL SCORE: 3.5/10

Context and risks

Geopolitical risk in Zambia, where First Quantum operates the Kansanshi mine, with a history of fiscal and regulatory disputes with the government. Political instability and changes in mining policy can affect operations and profitability.

News considered in the analysis

  • First Quantum Minerals Q2 Earnings Call Highlights — Los resultados del Q2 ya son públicos y el mercado ha reaccionado, pero los detalles sobre la producción de cobre y la guía pueden seguir ajustando las expectativas.
  • First Quantum Minerals Ltd (FQVLF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Copper Production ... — La producción de cobre fuerte es un dato positivo ya conocido, pero su efecto en la valoración puede no estar completamente descontado si la guía futura es mejor de lo esperado.
  • Mitsubishi (TSE:8058) Eyes Taca Taca Stake, Is The 11% Undervaluation Case Convincing? — El interés de Mitsubishi en el proyecto Taca Taca es una señal positiva que podría materializarse en una inversión o alianza estratégica, pero aún no es un hecho confirmado.
  • 3 Mining Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching For Europe Critical Minerals Demand — Listículo genérico sin información nueva específica sobre First Quantum.
  • Lithium Africa Names James Chabata as Chief Financial Officer — Noticia sobre otra empresa, sin impacto directo en First Quantum.

Verdict: Hold, with caution. The momentum is positive, but debt and business quality limit the upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is the high debt (ND/EBITDA 4.22) in a rising interest rate environment, which could pressure the balance sheet and limit financial flexibility if the copper cycle weakens.

Other Basic Materials companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.