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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group SMFG

Japan Financial Services
6.5/10
AI Analyst score
26.61 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 31.51 (+18.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; expansion in Vietnam and a rising rate environment are positive, but the forward valuation offers no margin of safety.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is a diversified Japanese bank offering banking services, credit cards, leasing, and asset management. SMFG shows solid growth (revenue +24.8%, earnings +35.0%) and a wide competitive moat (operating margin 40.9%), but its valuation is demanding (forward P/E 64.9) and return on assets is low (ROA 0.42%), which weighs on its financial health.

Financial health
3.7
Quality / Moat
9.0
Valuation
3.2
Growth
8.6
Dividend
6.5
Momentum
8.2
Risk & Context
8.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E15.84
Fwd P/E64.90
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B1.68
P/S5.61
PEG2.25
Market cap168.51 B USD
Enterprise value-28.71 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)2.6%
Gross margin0.00%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin40.90%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE8.57%
ROA0.42%
Net margin27.82%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt59.16 T JPY
Net debt-55.17 T JPY
Cash114.33 T JPY
EBITDAN/D
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/EN/D
Current ratioN/D
Quick ratioN/D
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth24.80%
Earnings growth35.00%
EPS (TTM)1.70 USD
EPS (Fwd)0.41 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.22%
Payout34.1%
Beta0.39
Analyst consensusStrong buy (1)
Target price31.51 USD
52-week range15.18 USD – 27.62 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The forward P/E of 64.90 suggests the market is pricing in very high future growth that, if not realized, could trigger a significant correction in the stock.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group is a diversified Japanese bank offering banking services, credit cards, leasing, and asset management. SMFG shows solid growth (revenue +24.8%, earnings +35.0%) and a wide competitive moat (operating margin 40.9%), but its valuation is demanding (forward P/E 64.9) and return on assets is low (ROA 0.42%), which weighs on its financial health.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.7
Quality / Moat9.0
Valuation3.2
Growth8.6
Dividend6.5
Momentum8.2
Risk & Context8.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.5/10

Context and risks

Moderate governance risk in Japan due to state ownership and minority protection, although management is professionalized and the institutional framework is solid.

News considered in the analysis

  • Japan’s SMBC in talks to raise VPBank stake to about 20%, Reuters reports — Aumentar la participación en VPBank (Vietnam) del 15% actual a ~20% es una expansión estratégica en un mercado de alto crecimiento, pero el impacto en beneficios a corto plazo es moderado y depende del cierre de la operación.
  • 3 Financial Stocks to Watch as Higher Bond Yields Reshape Bank and Insurer Profits — El repunte de los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro de EE. UU. y de los JGB (tipos locales) amplía el margen de intermediación de SMFG, un efecto positivo ya parcialmente reflejado en el reciente momentum de la acción.
  • Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures up Pre-Bell Friday as Treasury Yields Rise, Oil Prices Fall — Ruido de mercado sin información específica sobre SMFG.
  • Sector Update: Financial Stocks Rise Premarket Friday — Movimiento sectorial genérico, sin impacto específico en la empresa.
  • Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Decline in Friday Trading; Up Marginally for Week — Listículo de mercado sin información nueva sobre SMFG.

Verdict: Hold; expansion in Vietnam and a rising rate environment are positive, but the forward valuation offers no margin of safety.

Main risk: The forward P/E of 64.90 suggests the market is pricing in very high future growth that, if not realized, could trigger a significant correction in the stock.

Other Financial Services companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.