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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Seagate Technology STX

Singapore Technology
5.9/10
AI Analyst score
916.83 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 1,125.00 (+22.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, given strong momentum and quality, but without adding positions at these valuation levels and with an eye on the sustainability of the AI cycle.

Seagate Technology is a leading manufacturer of hard disk drives (HDDs) and large-scale data storage solutions, selling mainly to data centers, hyperscalers, and enterprises that need massive storage for cloud and artificial intelligence applications. Seagate shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.49) and exceptional quality (ROE 371.5%), but its valuation is very demanding (P/E 65.8) and its 148.8% earnings growth suggests a cyclical peak, warranting caution.

Financial health
8.1
Quality / Moat
8.2
Valuation
3.3
Growth
7.2
Dividend
4.0
Momentum
9.8
Risk & Context
1.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E65.77
Fwd P/E16.56
EV/EBITDA46.64
P/B95.95
P/S17.10
PEG0.52
Market cap208.48 B USD
Enterprise value209.99 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)86.5%
Gross margin45.58%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin43.07%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE371.53%
ROA29.35%
Net margin26.11%
FCF1.94 B USD
FCF yield0.93%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.90 B USD
Net debt2.19 B USD
Cash1.70 B USD
EBITDA4.50 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.49
D/E179.88
Current ratio1.67
Quick ratio1.07
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth48.50%
Earnings growth148.80%
EPS (TTM)13.94 USD
EPS (Fwd)55.37 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.32%
Payout21.1%
Beta2.09
Analyst consensusnone (23)
Target price1,125.00 USD
52-week range209.00 USD – 1,145.00 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of the semiconductor/storage cycle: 148.8% earnings growth is unsustainable, and a correction in hyperscaler AI spending could hit demand and valuation (P/E 65.8).
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Seagate Technology is a leading manufacturer of hard disk drives (HDDs) and large-scale data storage solutions, selling mainly to data centers, hyperscalers, and enterprises that need massive storage for cloud and artificial intelligence applications. Seagate shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.49) and exceptional quality (ROE 371.5%), but its valuation is very demanding (P/E 65.8) and its 148.8% earnings growth suggests a cyclical peak, warranting caution.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.1
Quality / Moat8.2
Valuation3.3
Growth7.2
Dividend4.0
Momentum9.8
Risk & Context1.5

OVERALL SCORE: 5.9/10

Context and risks

Domiciled in Singapore with moderate governance risk. Exposure to the Asian supply chain is relevant, but there is no specific geopolitical risk affecting operations beyond the base country risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Is Seagate Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell Above $900? — Artículo de opinión sin información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • 2 Nasdaq 100 Stocks to Target This Week and 1 We Question — Listículo genérico sin datos específicos que afecten a la valoración.
  • Seagate Stock Has a Bigger AI Connection Than You Might Think — Refuerza la narrativa de que Seagate es un beneficiario del ciclo de capex en IA, aunque el mercado ya lo descuenta en parte.
  • Sandisk Drops 23% From 52-Week High: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock? — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de Seagate.
  • Dow Jones Futures Fall, Oil Prices Rise Amid Trump Iran Comments; Micron, SpaceX, Tesla Eye Buy Points — Contexto macro general, sin impacto directo y material en el negocio de Seagate.

Verdict: Hold, given strong momentum and quality, but without adding positions at these valuation levels and with an eye on the sustainability of the AI cycle.

Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of the semiconductor/storage cycle: 148.8% earnings growth is unsustainable, and a correction in hyperscaler AI spending could hit demand and valuation (P/E 65.8).

Other Technology companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.