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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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TransDigm TDG

United States Industrials
4.9/10
AI Analyst score
1,116.20 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 1,513.37 (+35.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is high, but leverage and expensive valuation warrant caution until the rate cycle becomes clearer.

TransDigm designs and manufactures highly engineered aerospace components, with recurring revenue from the commercial aftermarket and defense. TransDigm shows 22.5% revenue growth and a 46.01% operating margin, reflecting its strong position in the aerospace aftermarket, but its high debt (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.03) and demanding valuation (P/E 33.9) limit attractiveness, especially with rising rates.

Financial health
4.9
Quality / Moat
6.3
Valuation
3.2
Growth
7.5
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
3.6
Risk & Context
6.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E33.90
Fwd P/E23.08
EV/EBITDA18.15
P/B-6.65
P/S6.24
PEG3.05
Market cap61.70 B USD
Enterprise value92.49 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)N/D
Gross margin59.82%
FCF conversion29%
Operating margin46.01%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROA11.82%
Net margin21.28%
FCF1.46 B USD
FCF yield2.36%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt33.49 B USD
Net debt30.71 B USD
Cash2.78 B USD
EBITDA5.10 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA6.03
D/EN/D
Current ratio3.02
Quick ratio1.92
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth22.50%
Earnings growth10.90%
EPS (TTM)32.93 USD
EPS (Fwd)48.36 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.89
Analyst consensusBuy (19)
Target price1,513.37 USD
52-week range1,071.25 USD – 1,463.03 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.03) is the biggest risk: a sustained high-rate environment makes refinancing more expensive and could compress free cash flow generation (FCF conversion of only 28.6%).
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

TransDigm designs and manufactures highly engineered aerospace components, with recurring revenue from the commercial aftermarket and defense. TransDigm shows 22.5% revenue growth and a 46.01% operating margin, reflecting its strong position in the aerospace aftermarket, but its high debt (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.03) and demanding valuation (P/E 33.9) limit attractiveness, especially with rising rates.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.9
Quality / Moat6.3
Valuation3.2
Growth7.5
Dividend1.5
Momentum3.6
Risk & Context6.4

OVERALL SCORE: 4.9/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) is a drag on TransDigm's valuation due to its long-duration profile (P/E 33.9) and high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.03), which makes debt refinancing more expensive. However, the effect is already partially discounted by the quantitative engine, so the additional adjustment is limited.

News considered in the analysis

  • Is TransDigm Group (TDG) Undervalued Following Its New Debt Deals? — La refinanciación de deuda es un evento real que ya ocurrió; el impacto es moderado y parcialmente descontado, pero relevante dado el alto apalancamiento de la compañía.
  • Can Rising Aerospace and Defense Demand Drive Curtiss-Wright's Growth? — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin información nueva sobre TransDigm.
  • Can Astronics Turn Strong Aerospace Demand Into Higher Profitability? — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin información nueva sobre TransDigm.
  • Can Rising Defense Demand Strengthen TransDigm's Growth Outlook? — La demanda de defensa es un viento de cola estructural para TransDigm, pero ya está ampliamente descontado en el precio; el impacto es moderado.
  • Is Astronics Building a Broader Aerospace Growth Platform? — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin información nueva sobre TransDigm.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is high, but leverage and expensive valuation warrant caution until the rate cycle becomes clearer.

Main risk: The high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.03) is the biggest risk: a sustained high-rate environment makes refinancing more expensive and could compress free cash flow generation (FCF conversion of only 28.6%).

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.