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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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United Airlines UAL

United States Industrials
4.9/10
AI Analyst score
113.99 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 156.80 (+37.6%)
🛒 Where to buy UALPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The valuation is cheap, but the fuel risk and earnings weakness suggest waiting for an improvement in margin or stabilization in oil prices.

United Airlines is one of the world's largest airlines, operating an extensive network of domestic and international passenger and cargo routes, generating revenue from ticket sales and ancillary services. United Airlines shows an attractive valuation (P/E 10.67) and solid revenue growth (16%), but its financial health is fragile (operating margin 5.53%) and earnings are falling (-17.2%). The surge in crude oil is a direct headwind to its cost structure.

Financial health
3.9
Quality / Moat
4.3
Valuation
7.6
Growth
4.8
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
5.8
Risk & Context
4.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E10.67
Fwd P/E7.88
EV/EBITDA7.62
P/B2.22
P/S0.59
PEG6.50
Market cap37.00 B USD
Enterprise value54.03 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.9%
Gross margin31.82%
FCF conversion13%
Operating margin5.53%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE23.25%
ROA3.38%
Net margin5.56%
FCF910.1 M USD
FCF yield2.46%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt33.67 B USD
Net debt17.03 B USD
Cash16.64 B USD
EBITDA7.09 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.40
D/E201.64
Current ratio0.78
Quick ratio0.69
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth16.00%
Earnings growth-17.20%
EPS (TTM)10.68 USD
EPS (Fwd)14.56 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.27
Analyst consensusStrong buy (23)
Target price156.80 USD
52-week range84.64 USD – 138.77 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Exposure to fuel prices, exacerbated by a thin operating margin (5.53%), is the main short-term risk for UAL, as persistently high crude oil can erode its profitability.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

United Airlines is one of the world's largest airlines, operating an extensive network of domestic and international passenger and cargo routes, generating revenue from ticket sales and ancillary services. United Airlines shows an attractive valuation (P/E 10.67) and solid revenue growth (16%), but its financial health is fragile (operating margin 5.53%) and earnings are falling (-17.2%). The surge in crude oil is a direct headwind to its cost structure.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.9
Quality / Moat4.3
Valuation7.6
Growth4.8
Dividend1.5
Momentum5.8
Risk & Context4.5

OVERALL SCORE: 4.9/10

Context and risks

The sharp rise in crude oil is a direct risk for UAL, whose operating margin is thin (5.53%). Fuel is a key cost for airlines, and the low margin amplifies vulnerability to this increase.

News considered in the analysis

  • Market Chatter: Boeing Discovers Software Glitch on 737 MAX Planes That Could Affect Landings — Un problema de software en el 737 MAX, avión clave en la flota de UAL, podría causar retrasos o costes de mantenimiento, aunque el impacto financiero es incierto.
  • Woman says United ‘trapped’ her beside a man she reported for lewd acts. She got a $100 credit for a $400 flight — Una queja de un cliente sobre la gestión de un incidente de seguridad podría dañar la reputación de la marca y generar publicidad negativa, aunque es un evento aislado.
  • United Airlines (UAL) Rises Higher Than Market: Key Facts — Titular genérico sobre el movimiento de la acción, sin información nueva sobre los fundamentales.
  • Market Chatter: US Airlines Oppose More China Flights Despite Xi's Overture — La oposición a más vuelos a China limita el potencial de crecimiento de UAL en una ruta internacional clave, pero refleja una decisión estratégica del sector.
  • United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Received Its First A321XLR With New Long Range Engines — La recepción del A321XLR es un hito operativo que mejora la eficiencia de combustible y abre nuevas rutas de largo recorrido, un factor positivo para el crecimiento futuro.

Verdict: Hold. The valuation is cheap, but the fuel risk and earnings weakness suggest waiting for an improvement in margin or stabilization in oil prices.

Main risk: Exposure to fuel prices, exacerbated by a thin operating margin (5.53%), is the main short-term risk for UAL, as persistently high crude oil can erode its profitability.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.