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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Telefónica TEF.MC

Spain Communication Services
5.2/10
AI Analyst score
3.45 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 3.95 (+14.4%)
🛒 Where to buy TEF.MCPartner brokers · Spain (BME) · sample 200.00 € orderSpain (BME)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; high debt and a rising rate environment limit upside potential, but cheap valuation and dividend offer some support.

Telefónica is an integrated telecommunications operator offering fixed and mobile telephony, broadband, and pay-TV services in Spain, Brazil, Latin America, and the UK, with a business model based on operating its own networks and attracting residential and corporate customers. Telefónica presents a fragile financial health (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.27) and a negative ROE (-10.34%), although its valuation is attractive (FCF yield of 20.08%) and it offers a net dividend of 4.35%, but with an unsustainable payout of 111.11%.

Financial health
4.9
Quality / Moat
4.4
Valuation
4.7
Dividend
5.0
Momentum
3.3
Risk & Context
7.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E8.96
EV/EBITDA8.65
P/B1.32
P/S0.54
PEG0.38
Market cap19.43 B EUR
Enterprise value59.06 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.3%
Gross margin44.82%
FCF conversion57%
Operating margin9.85%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-10.34%
ROA0.98%
Net margin-9.11%
FCF3.90 B EUR
FCF yield20.08%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt41.69 B EUR
Net debt36.01 B EUR
Cash5.68 B EUR
EBITDA6.83 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA5.27
D/E227.65
Current ratio0.92
Quick ratio0.69
🚀 Growth
Revenue growthN/D
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)-0.47 EUR
EPS (Fwd)0.40 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.35%
Payout111.1%
Beta0.29
Analyst consensusHold (22)
Target price3.95 EUR
52-week range3.24 EUR – 4.63 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.27) combined with rising interest rates and a weak euro increase financing costs and pressure cash generation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Telefónica is an integrated telecommunications operator offering fixed and mobile telephony, broadband, and pay-TV services in Spain, Brazil, Latin America, and the UK, with a business model based on operating its own networks and attracting residential and corporate customers. Telefónica presents a fragile financial health (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.27) and a negative ROE (-10.34%), although its valuation is attractive (FCF yield of 20.08%) and it offers a net dividend of 4.35%, but with an unsustainable payout of 111.11%.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.9
Quality / Moat4.4
Valuation4.7
Dividend5.0
Momentum3.3
Risk & Context7.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.2/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and the expectation of further ECB rate hikes increase the cost of Telefónica's debt (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.27) and pressure the present value of its long-term cash flows. The euro's weakness against the dollar (DXY 101.09) adds additional pressure on dollar-denominated financing costs.

News considered in the analysis

  • Telefónica (BME:TEF) Is Back In The Spotlight, What Is Driving Attention? — Artículo especulativo de Simply Wall St. sin información nueva concreta sobre la compañía; no aporta datos materiales.
  • I’m a female founder with a liberal arts degree and my company has raised $280 million. You don’t need a PhD to build a robotics startup — Noticia de perfil personal sobre una fundadora de robótica; sin relación con Telefónica.
  • European Stocks Close Lower in Tuesday Trading; Energy, Defense Stocks Rise as Oil, Bond Yields Rise — Cobertura general de mercado; menciona sectores (energía, defensa) sin impacto directo en telecomunicaciones.
  • European Stocks Close Mixed in Monday Trading; ECB Rates Could Rise as Energy Costs Fuel Inflation — La expectativa de subidas de tipos del BCE, aunque ya descontada en parte, presiona la valoración de los flujos a largo plazo de Telefónica, una empresa de duración larga.
  • TELFY or CHT: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? — Comparativa genérica de valor sin información específica o nueva sobre Telefónica.

Verdict: Hold; high debt and a rising rate environment limit upside potential, but cheap valuation and dividend offer some support.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 5.27) combined with rising interest rates and a weak euro increase financing costs and pressure cash generation.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.