⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Tourmaline Oil TOU.TO

Canada Energy
4.4/10
AI Analyst score
61.38 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 70.89 (+15.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the company benefits from current energy prices, but its valuation and quality do not justify entry at these levels.

Tourmaline Oil Corp is a Canadian oil and gas exploration and production company, focused on natural gas and light oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Tourmaline Oil Corp shows revenue growth of 14.90%, but its profitability is weak (ROE 2.33%, operating margin 19.84%) and its valuation is demanding (P/E 66.72, FCF yield -4.21%). The 5% dividend increase is a positive gesture, but the 217% payout is unsustainable unless energy prices remain high.

Financial health
5.0
Quality / Moat
3.1
Valuation
2.5
Growth
3.3
Dividend
3.8
Momentum
3.1
Risk & Context
8.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E66.72
Fwd P/E13.50
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B1.49
P/S4.96
PEG0.32
Market cap23.85 B CAD
Enterprise valueN/D
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.5%
Gross margin48.70%
FCF conversion-46%
Operating margin19.84%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE2.33%
ROA0.95%
Net margin7.85%
FCF-1.01 B CAD
FCF yield-4.21%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.32 B CAD
Net debtN/D
CashN/D
EBITDA2.17 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/E8.24
Current ratio0.72
Quick ratio0.39
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth14.90%
Earnings growth-65.20%
EPS (TTM)0.92 CAD
EPS (Fwd)4.54 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.42%
Payout217.4%
Beta0.24
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Target price70.89 CAD
52-week range57.95 CAD – 70.57 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: A decline in natural gas or crude oil prices, which would compress the 19.84% operating margin and make the dividend unsustainable with a 217% payout.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Tourmaline Oil Corp is a Canadian oil and gas exploration and production company, focused on natural gas and light oil in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. Tourmaline Oil Corp shows revenue growth of 14.90%, but its profitability is weak (ROE 2.33%, operating margin 19.84%) and its valuation is demanding (P/E 66.72, FCF yield -4.21%). The 5% dividend increase is a positive gesture, but the 217% payout is unsustainable unless energy prices remain high.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.0
Quality / Moat3.1
Valuation2.5
Growth3.3
Dividend3.8
Momentum3.1
Risk & Context8.8

OVERALL SCORE: 4.4/10

Context and risks

Exposure to natural gas and crude oil price volatility, with a 19.84% operating margin that could compress if prices fall. The recent escalation in the Strait of Hormuz adds uncertainty to energy prices, but Tourmaline is a producer, so it benefits from high prices; the main risk is the reversal of these prices.

News considered in the analysis

  • U.S. Pressure Is Awakening an Energy Giant in Canada — Artículo de opinión sobre el potencial de la industria energética canadiense; sugiere un entorno favorable para productores como Tourmaline, pero sin datos concretos de la empresa.
  • 3 Oil Producer Stocks Investors Are Watching For Crude Price Exposure — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Tourmaline.
  • Tourmaline to Sell CA$287.5 Million of Topaz Shares, Raises Quarterly Dividend 5% — Venta de participaciones para financiar un aumento del dividendo del 5%; refuerza el compromiso con el accionista, aunque la venta de activos puede indicar falta de mejores oportunidades de reinversión.
  • 3 Oil And Gas Stocks For Higher Energy Prices On Russia Sanctions — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre Tourmaline.
  • Tourmaline Oil Corp's Dividend Analysis — Análisis de dividendo sin información nueva; el payout del 217% ya es conocido y refleja un dividendo no cubierto por beneficios.

Verdict: Hold; the company benefits from current energy prices, but its valuation and quality do not justify entry at these levels.

Main risk: A decline in natural gas or crude oil prices, which would compress the 19.84% operating margin and make the dividend unsustainable with a 217% payout.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.