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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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TC Energy TRP

Canada Energy
4.8/10
AI Analyst score
58.78 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 65.58 (+11.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution due to high leverage and interest rate risk, despite the attractive dividend and stable business.

TC Energy is a Canadian energy infrastructure company that operates oil pipelines, natural gas pipelines, and power generation and storage facilities, generating revenue primarily through regulated tariffs and long-term contracts. TC Energy shows weak financial health (3.9) due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.17), although its regulated energy infrastructure business offers a high operating margin (44.25%) and an attractive dividend (4.25%). Valuation is stretched (P/E 23.70) and growth is moderate.

Financial health
3.3
Quality / Moat
4.9
Valuation
3.7
Growth
6.5
Dividend
5.6
Momentum
5.8
Risk & Context
6.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E23.70
Fwd P/E21.24
EV/EBITDA14.89
P/B3.18
P/S5.52
PEG2.97
Market cap61.24 B USD
Enterprise value148.05 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)7.6%
Gross margin69.53%
FCF conversion13%
Operating margin44.25%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE11.83%
ROA3.67%
Net margin22.91%
FCF1.25 B CAD
FCF yield1.44%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt63.85 B CAD
Net debt61.37 B CAD
Cash2.48 B CAD
EBITDA9.94 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA6.17
D/E170.37
Current ratio0.61
Quick ratio0.41
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.70%
Earnings growth18.30%
EPS (TTM)2.48 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.77 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.25%
Payout98.4%
Beta0.95
Analyst consensusBuy (3)
Target price65.58 USD
52-week range49.27 USD – 71.47 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.17) is the main risk, as rising interest rates make debt more expensive and limit financial flexibility, despite asset sales to reduce it.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

TC Energy is a Canadian energy infrastructure company that operates oil pipelines, natural gas pipelines, and power generation and storage facilities, generating revenue primarily through regulated tariffs and long-term contracts. TC Energy shows weak financial health (3.9) due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.17), although its regulated energy infrastructure business offers a high operating margin (44.25%) and an attractive dividend (4.25%). Valuation is stretched (P/E 23.70) and growth is moderate.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.3
Quality / Moat4.9
Valuation3.7
Growth6.5
Dividend5.6
Momentum5.8
Risk & Context6.2

OVERALL SCORE: 4.8/10

Context and risks

The rise in crude oil and gas benefits producers, but TC Energy is a midstream company with regulated revenues and long-term contracts, so the direct effect is limited. The main risk is regulatory in Canada, with a reference, and high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.17) which amplifies interest rate risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • TC Energy (TRP) Signs Pipeline Sale. Can Reinvestment Replace Cash Flow? — La venta de un gasoducto es un movimiento estratégico para reducir el elevado apalancamiento (DN/EBITDA de 6.17), pero la pregunta sobre la reinversión del flujo de caja genera incertidumbre sobre el crecimiento futuro.
  • U.S. Natural-Gas Futures Settle Lower — Movimiento de precios del gas a corto plazo sin impacto material en el valor a largo plazo de los activos regulados de TC Energy.
  • Nat-Gas Prices Decline on Hopes Appalachia Pipeline to Be Repaired — Las noticias sobre la reparación de un gasoducto en Appalachia afectan a los precios del gas, pero no tienen un impacto directo y material en los fundamentales de TC Energy.
  • U.S. Natural Gas Futures Rise Sharply on Pipeline Outage — La interrupción de un gasoducto en Appalachia eleva los precios del gas, un factor positivo para los segmentos de generación eléctrica de TC Energy, pero de magnitud limitada y ya reflejado en el precio.
  • Nat-Gas Prices Soar on Pipeline Outage in Appalachia — Mismo evento que el titular anterior; el impacto en TC Energy es indirecto y acotado, sin efecto neto adicional.

Verdict: Hold, with caution due to high leverage and interest rate risk, despite the attractive dividend and stable business.

Main risk: The high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 6.17) is the main risk, as rising interest rates make debt more expensive and limit financial flexibility, despite asset sales to reduce it.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.