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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Texas Pacific Land TPL

United States Energy
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
341.07 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 443.00 (+29.9%)
🛒 Where to buy TPLPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is exceptional, but the price already discounts perfect growth and free cash flow generation is concerning.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation owns and manages a vast expanse of land in the Permian Basin of Texas, generating revenue primarily through oil and gas production royalties, as well as water sales and services for energy operators. Texas Pacific Land shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA -0.31, operating margin 78.18%) and robust growth (revenue +31.2%), but its valuation is extremely demanding (P/E 43.5, EV/EBITDA 31.41) and free cash flow conversion is negative (-4.43), which weighs on its attractiveness.

Financial health
9.0
Quality / Moat
7.7
Valuation
1.4
Growth
8.8
Dividend
4.7
Momentum
5.0
Risk & Context
8.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E43.50
Fwd P/E4.66
EV/EBITDA31.41
P/B14.07
P/S26.21
PEG7.33
Market cap23.53 B USD
Enterprise value23.29 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)41.5%
Gross margin93.34%
FCF conversion-4%
Operating margin78.18%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE36.57%
ROA25.81%
Net margin60.32%
FCF-32.8 M USD
FCF yield-0.14%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt18.0 M USD
Net debt-230.6 M USD
Cash248.6 M USD
EBITDA741.6 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.31
D/E1.08
Current ratio4.55
Quick ratio4.50
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth31.20%
Earnings growth32.70%
EPS (TTM)7.84 USD
EPS (Fwd)73.12 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.70%
Payout28.9%
Beta0.62
Analyst consensusHold (2)
Target price443.00 USD
52-week range269.23 USD – 547.20 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The extreme valuation (P/E 43.5, EV/EBITDA 31.41) combined with negative free cash flow conversion (-4.43) leaves little room for error if royalty growth decelerates.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation owns and manages a vast expanse of land in the Permian Basin of Texas, generating revenue primarily through oil and gas production royalties, as well as water sales and services for energy operators. Texas Pacific Land shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA -0.31, operating margin 78.18%) and robust growth (revenue +31.2%), but its valuation is extremely demanding (P/E 43.5, EV/EBITDA 31.41) and free cash flow conversion is negative (-4.43), which weighs on its attractiveness.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health9.0
Quality / Moat7.7
Valuation1.4
Growth8.8
Dividend4.7
Momentum5.0
Risk & Context8.0

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

No material news or specific regulatory, geopolitical, or business model risks that are not already reflected in the quantitative scores. US country risk is moderate and standard.

News considered in the analysis

  • Q2 Earnings Highs And Lows: Texas Pacific Land (NYSE:TPL) Vs The Rest Of The U.S. Shale E&P Stocks — Artículo comparativo genérico sin información nueva sobre TPL.
  • Is Texas Pacific Land Stock Underperforming the Nasdaq? — Comparativa de rendimiento bursátil sin información fundamental nueva.
  • 2 Mid-Cap Stocks with Exciting Potential and 1 We Avoid — Listículo sin información específica accionable.
  • 2 Energy Stocks with Impressive Fundamentals and 1 We Find Risky — Opinión genérica sin datos concretos nuevos.
  • 3 Oil Stocks Retail Investors Are Screening As Crude Price Risk Returns — Menciona el riesgo del crudo, pero sin información específica sobre TPL.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is exceptional, but the price already discounts perfect growth and free cash flow generation is concerning.

Main risk: The extreme valuation (P/E 43.5, EV/EBITDA 31.41) combined with negative free cash flow conversion (-4.43) leaves little room for error if royalty growth decelerates.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.