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Tyson Foods TSN

United States Consumer Defensive
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
50.92 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 64.25 (+26.2%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the stock looks reasonably valued on forward earnings, but dividend sustainability and weak margins warrant caution until the meat cycle improves.

Tyson Foods is one of the world's largest food processors, dedicated to the production and marketing of chicken, beef, pork, and prepared foods, with a vertically integrated business model that spans from animal raising to packaging and distribution. Tyson Foods trades at a forward P/E of 12.34 and a FCF yield of 6.65%, but its operating margin of 2.71% and a payout of 125% reflect a business under pressure from the beef cycle, with mediocre financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.62).

Financial health
5.2
Quality / Moat
2.7
Valuation
6.4
Growth
6.8
Dividend
3.5
Momentum
5.2
Risk & Context
8.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E31.43
Fwd P/E12.34
EV/EBITDA9.12
P/B0.99
P/S0.32
PEG1.04
Market cap17.91 B USD
Enterprise value25.29 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.8%
Gross margin6.55%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin2.71%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE3.26%
ROA2.56%
Net margin1.03%
FCF1.19 B USD
FCF yield6.65%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt8.01 B USD
Net debt7.27 B USD
Cash740.0 M USD
EBITDA2.77 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.62
D/E44.02
Current ratio1.43
Quick ratio0.48
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-0.10%
Earnings growth204.10%
EPS (TTM)1.62 USD
EPS (Fwd)4.13 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.01%
Payout125.3%
Beta0.37
Analyst consensusHold (12)
Target price64.25 USD
52-week range50.56 USD – 69.48 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The biggest risk is dividend sustainability: with a payout of 125% and an operating margin of 2.71%, any further deterioration in the beef cycle could force a cut.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Tyson Foods is one of the world's largest food processors, dedicated to the production and marketing of chicken, beef, pork, and prepared foods, with a vertically integrated business model that spans from animal raising to packaging and distribution. Tyson Foods trades at a forward P/E of 12.34 and a FCF yield of 6.65%, but its operating margin of 2.71% and a payout of 125% reflect a business under pressure from the beef cycle, with mediocre financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.62).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.2
Quality / Moat2.7
Valuation6.4
Growth6.8
Dividend3.5
Momentum5.2
Risk & Context8.3

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) makes refinancing more expensive for a net debt of 2.62x EBITDA, although the defensive consumer staples profile limits the impact. The main risk is the beef cattle cycle, not the macro.

News considered in the analysis

  • Bear of the Day: Tyson Foods (TSN) — Señal bajista de Zacks, refleja el deterioro del margen de carne de res, ya parcialmente descontado en el precio.
  • Can Tyson Foods Keep Paying Its Dividend While Beef Bleeds Money? — El payout del 125% y el margen operativo del 2.71% generan dudas reales sobre la sostenibilidad del dividendo, un riesgo material.
  • Jim Cramer Said This Stock Is Struggling So Hard That It’s As Dark As Iceland — Comentario negativo de Cramer, refuerza el sentimiento bajista pero sin información nueva.
  • New Strong Sell Stocks for September 25th — Inclusión en lista de venta fuerte, consistente con el débil margen y el alto payout.
  • 3 Defensive US Stocks Retail Investors May Want As Rates Stay Higher — Menciona a Tyson como valor defensivo atractivo en un entorno de tipos altos, un contrapunto positivo.

Verdict: Hold; the stock looks reasonably valued on forward earnings, but dividend sustainability and weak margins warrant caution until the meat cycle improves.

Main risk: The biggest risk is dividend sustainability: with a payout of 125% and an operating margin of 2.71%, any further deterioration in the beef cycle could force a cut.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.