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Nestlé NESN.SW

Switzerland Consumer Defensive
5.2/10
AI Analyst score
77.72 CHF
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 88.36 (+13.7%)
🛒 Where to buy NESN.SWPartner brokers · Switzerland · sample 200.00 € orderSwitzerland
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is solid, but deteriorating growth and a high payout warrant caution until results stabilize.

Nestlé is a Swiss multinational food and beverage company with a diversified portfolio including infant nutrition, coffee, bottled water, dairy products, and pet food, sold globally. Nestlé shows a defensive profile with a 26.24% ROE and 16.11% operating margin, but growth is negative (revenue -2.5%, earnings -31.5%) and a 107% payout raises doubts about dividend sustainability. Net debt of 3.45x EBITDA and Russia exposure add pressure in a rising-rate environment.

Financial health
4.0
Quality / Moat
6.3
Valuation
4.8
Growth
1.6
Dividend
3.8
Momentum
6.3
Risk & Context
8.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E26.89
Fwd P/E16.16
EV/EBITDA15.53
P/B6.84
P/S2.25
PEG1.88
Market cap199.91 B CHF
Enterprise value255.54 B CHF
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)15.5%
Gross margin45.70%
FCF conversion27%
Operating margin16.11%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE26.24%
ROA6.65%
Net margin8.38%
FCF4.37 B CHF
FCF yield2.19%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt62.85 B CHF
Net debt56.71 B CHF
Cash6.13 B CHF
EBITDA16.46 B CHF
Net debt / EBITDA3.45
D/E213.00
Current ratio0.83
Quick ratio0.38
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-2.50%
Earnings growth-31.50%
EPS (TTM)2.89 CHF
EPS (Fwd)4.82 CHF
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.99%
Payout107.3%
Beta0.50
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Target price88.36 CHF
52-week range70.29 CHF – 87.09 CHF
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the combination of negative growth and a payout above 100%, which could force a dividend cut if earnings do not recover; Russia exposure adds geopolitical risk.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Nestlé is a Swiss multinational food and beverage company with a diversified portfolio including infant nutrition, coffee, bottled water, dairy products, and pet food, sold globally. Nestlé shows a defensive profile with a 26.24% ROE and 16.11% operating margin, but growth is negative (revenue -2.5%, earnings -31.5%) and a 107% payout raises doubts about dividend sustainability. Net debt of 3.45x EBITDA and Russia exposure add pressure in a rising-rate environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.0
Quality / Moat6.3
Valuation4.8
Growth1.6
Dividend3.8
Momentum6.3
Risk & Context8.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.2/10

Context and risks

Continued exposure to the Russian market without a change of ownership, with regulatory and reputational risk. The ECB's rate hikes make refinancing net debt of 3.45x EBITDA more expensive, though the impact is moderate for a defensive consumer company.

News considered in the analysis

  • Pepsi, Nestle could save 150,000 lives a year with one simple change — Artículo de opinión sin información nueva sobre la empresa; no afecta a la valoración.
  • 6 food manufacturers talk supply chain tactics — Contenido genérico de la industria sin datos específicos de Nestlé.
  • Nestlé breaks down its path to 2030 for virgin plastic reduction — Iniciativa de sostenibilidad a largo plazo; sin impacto financiero material a corto plazo.
  • Crosta Mollica merges with Nestlé pizza spin-off in Europe — Operación corporativa menor en el negocio de pizzas europeo; refuerza la estrategia de portafolio pero con impacto limitado en el conjunto del grupo.
  • Nestlé Russia: There has been no “change of ownership” — Confirma que la operación rusa sigue bajo control de Nestlé, manteniendo la exposición a un mercado con riesgo geopolítico y regulatorio.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is solid, but deteriorating growth and a high payout warrant caution until results stabilize.

Main risk: The main risk is the combination of negative growth and a payout above 100%, which could force a dividend cut if earnings do not recover; Russia exposure adds geopolitical risk.

Other Consumer Defensive companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.