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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Twilio TWLO

United States Technology
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
275.80 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 263.04 (-4.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold positions; growth and momentum are strong, but the high valuation and rising rate environment limit near-term upside potential.

Twilio is a cloud communications platform that enables developers to integrate voice, messaging, video, and authentication into their applications, with a pay-as-you-go business model. Twilio shows exceptional growth (revenue +22%, earnings +4671.5%) and strong momentum (9.8), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 38.04, EV/EBITDA 81.56) and rising rates pressure its multiple.

Financial health
7.6
Quality / Moat
5.7
Valuation
4.4
Growth
9.2
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
9.8
Risk & Context
3.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E38.04
Fwd P/E40.61
EV/EBITDA81.56
P/B4.72
P/S7.60
PEG0.43
Market cap42.36 B USD
Enterprise value40.77 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.3%
Gross margin48.56%
FCF conversion191%
Operating margin7.83%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE13.50%
ROA2.06%
Net margin20.61%
FCF954.7 M USD
FCF yield2.25%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.07 B USD
Net debt-1.59 B USD
Cash2.66 B USD
EBITDA499.8 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA-3.18
D/E11.87
Current ratio4.62
Quick ratio4.21
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth22.00%
Earnings growth4671.50%
EPS (TTM)7.25 USD
EPS (Fwd)6.79 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.41
Analyst consensusBuy (28)
Target price263.04 USD
52-week range98.44 USD – 304.75 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The demanding valuation (P/E 38.04, EV/EBITDA 81.56) combined with the rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) could compress the multiple and weigh on the stock price.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Twilio is a cloud communications platform that enables developers to integrate voice, messaging, video, and authentication into their applications, with a pay-as-you-go business model. Twilio shows exceptional growth (revenue +22%, earnings +4671.5%) and strong momentum (9.8), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 38.04, EV/EBITDA 81.56) and rising rates pressure its multiple.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.6
Quality / Moat5.7
Valuation4.4
Growth9.2
Dividend1.5
Momentum9.8
Risk & Context3.9

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and the decline in tech stocks due to AI concerns pressure Twilio's valuation, which trades at a P/E of 38.04 and EV/EBITDA of 81.56, making it sensitive to changes in discount rates.

News considered in the analysis

  • Twilio (TWLO) Stock Sees Fair Value Lift As AI Focus Drives Analyst Optimism — El enfoque en IA atrae optimismo de los analistas, lo que respalda la valoración, aunque el mercado ya lo ha descontado parcialmente.
  • Why Twilio (TWLO) Shares Are Getting Obliterated Today — La caída de las acciones ya refleja la noticia negativa, por lo que no hay efecto adicional en el precio.
  • How Twilio Makeover Turned Messaging Base Into AI Growth Engine — La transformación hacia IA como motor de crecimiento es un cambio material positivo, aunque el mercado ya lo ha valorado en parte.
  • HSBC Just Downgraded Twilio Stock. Here's Why. — La rebaja de HSBC refleja preocupaciones sobre la valoración, pero el impacto es moderado y ya está parcialmente descontado.
  • US Stock Market Today S&P 500 Futures Rise As Jobs Data Jitters Build — Ruido general del mercado sin impacto directo en Twilio.

Verdict: Hold positions; growth and momentum are strong, but the high valuation and rising rate environment limit near-term upside potential.

Main risk: The demanding valuation (P/E 38.04, EV/EBITDA 81.56) combined with the rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) could compress the multiple and weigh on the stock price.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.