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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Waste Connections WCN

Canada Industrials
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
155.56 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 202.04 (+29.9%)
🛒 Where to buy WCNPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality and moat offset the demanding valuation, but leverage and interest rate sensitivity limit upside potential.

Waste Connections is a North American solid waste management company offering collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services to municipal, commercial, and industrial customers under long-term contracts. Waste Connections shows a defensive business with a 19.70% operating margin and 10.96% ROIC, but its financial health is weighed down by net debt of 3.05x EBITDA and tight liquidity (0.66). Valuation is demanding (P/E 37.57) and growth is moderate (revenue +6.40%), justifying an average score.

Financial health
4.7
Quality / Moat
5.4
Valuation
3.6
Growth
5.7
Dividend
5.4
Momentum
4.5
Risk & Context
8.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E37.57
Fwd P/E25.07
EV/EBITDA15.60
P/B4.95
P/S4.01
PEG1.51
Market cap39.13 B USD
Enterprise value48.75 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)11.0%
Gross margin42.53%
FCF conversion34%
Operating margin19.70%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE13.03%
ROA5.49%
Net margin10.86%
FCF1.05 B USD
FCF yield2.68%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.64 B USD
Net debt9.54 B USD
Cash100.5 M USD
EBITDA3.12 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.05
D/E121.68
Current ratio0.66
Quick ratio0.55
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.40%
Earnings growth4.40%
EPS (TTM)4.15 USD
EPS (Fwd)6.21 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.90%
Payout33.0%
Beta0.47
Analyst consensusStrong buy (25)
Target price202.04 USD
52-week range146.89 USD – 179.74 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Financial leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.05) and low liquidity (0.66) increase vulnerability to a higher rate environment, making debt service more expensive.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Waste Connections is a North American solid waste management company offering collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services to municipal, commercial, and industrial customers under long-term contracts. Waste Connections shows a defensive business with a 19.70% operating margin and 10.96% ROIC, but its financial health is weighed down by net debt of 3.05x EBITDA and tight liquidity (0.66). Valuation is demanding (P/E 37.57) and growth is moderate (revenue +6.40%), justifying an average score.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.7
Quality / Moat5.4
Valuation3.6
Growth5.7
Dividend5.4
Momentum4.5
Risk & Context8.4

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

Moderate governance/regulatory risk in Canada. No material exposure to current macro factors (rates, oil, geopolitics) given its defensive waste management business.

News considered in the analysis

  • Here's Why Investors Must Hold WCN Stock in Their Portfolios Now — Artículo promocional de Zacks sin información nueva; ruido.
  • Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Friday as Tech Rally Continues — Noticia de mercado general sin relación específica con WCN.
  • 1 Safe-and-Steady Stock on Our Buy List and 2 Facing Challenges — Opinión de un medio sin datos concretos; no aporta información nueva.
  • 3 Reasons WCN is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead — Artículo de opinión con tesis genérica; sin hechos verificables.
  • SWaste Management Stocks Q2 Highlights: Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) — Resumen de resultados del segundo trimestre sin datos específicos; sin impacto nuevo.

Verdict: Hold; business quality and moat offset the demanding valuation, but leverage and interest rate sensitivity limit upside potential.

Main risk: Financial leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.05) and low liquidity (0.66) increase vulnerability to a higher rate environment, making debt service more expensive.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.