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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Watsco WSO

United States Industrials
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
317.23 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 379.20 (+19.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The strong balance sheet and dividend (net yield 4.16%) provide support, but the lack of growth and demanding multiple limit upside potential.

Watsco is the largest distributor of HVAC equipment in the United States, acting as an intermediary between manufacturers and installing contractors. Watsco has excellent financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.10, liquidity of 3.20) and notable moat quality (ROIC of 21.33%), but its growth is weak (revenue +2.10%, earnings -11.70%) and valuation is not cheap (P/E 27.59), which limits its appeal.

Financial health
7.9
Quality / Moat
6.7
Valuation
4.7
Growth
3.7
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
1.8
Risk & Context
6.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E27.59
Fwd P/E23.90
EV/EBITDA18.25
P/B4.09
P/S1.80
PEG1.21
Market cap13.09 B USD
Enterprise value12.79 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)21.3%
Gross margin27.51%
FCF conversion69%
Operating margin10.94%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE16.74%
ROA8.37%
Net margin6.53%
FCF483.7 M USD
FCF yield3.70%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt535.3 M USD
Net debt71.1 M USD
Cash464.2 M USD
EBITDA701.1 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.10
D/E15.41
Current ratio3.20
Quick ratio1.41
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.10%
Earnings growth-11.70%
EPS (TTM)11.66 USD
EPS (Fwd)13.27 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.16%
Payout105.4%
Beta1.04
Analyst consensusHold (10)
Target price379.20 USD
52-week range295.75 USD – 459.00 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Stagnant earnings growth (-11.70%) in a potentially cyclical HVAC demand environment, which may not justify the current multiple of 27.59 times earnings.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Watsco is the largest distributor of HVAC equipment in the United States, acting as an intermediary between manufacturers and installing contractors. Watsco has excellent financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.10, liquidity of 3.20) and notable moat quality (ROIC of 21.33%), but its growth is weak (revenue +2.10%, earnings -11.70%) and valuation is not cheap (P/E 27.59), which limits its appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.9
Quality / Moat6.7
Valuation4.7
Growth3.7
Dividend4.8
Momentum1.8
Risk & Context6.2

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

No material exposure to relevant macro factors (oil, rates, geopolitics). The HVAC distribution business in the US is not directly affected by the oil price surge or Middle East tensions.

News considered in the analysis

  • These 3 Boring Stocks Have One Thing in Common: Demand That Cannot Wait — Listículo genérico sin información específica nueva sobre Watsco.
  • 3 Cash-Producing Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar — Artículo de opinión sin datos concretos que afecten a la valoración.
  • 5 Industrial Distributors With a Competitive Advantage Hiding in Plain Sight — Comparativa sectorial genérica, sin información nueva sobre Watsco.
  • 1 Profitable Stock to Target This Week and 2 We Question — Selección de acciones sin catalizadores específicos identificables.
  • Watsco (WSO) Stock Appears Undervalued Based On Future Cash Flow — Análisis de valoración basado en DCF, sin información nueva que no esté ya en el precio.

Verdict: Hold. The strong balance sheet and dividend (net yield 4.16%) provide support, but the lack of growth and demanding multiple limit upside potential.

Main risk: Stagnant earnings growth (-11.70%) in a potentially cyclical HVAC demand environment, which may not justify the current multiple of 27.59 times earnings.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.