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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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ADP ADP.PA

France Industrials
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
110.90 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 127.09 (+14.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; geopolitical risk in the Middle East is the main drag on traffic, but a reopening could reverse the situation quickly.

ADP (Aéroports de Paris) operates the Paris airports (Charles de Gaulle, Orly and Le Bourget) and has stakes in other international airports, generating revenue from airport fees, commercial services and real estate activities. ADP maintains a resilient business with an operating margin of 15.77% and earnings growth of 222%, but its high debt (ND/EBITDA 4.24) and negative cash conversion (-38.88%) weigh on its financial health and quality. Valuation is reasonable (P/E 18.39) and the dividend is well covered (payout 49.75%).

Financial health
4.2
Quality / Moat
4.4
Valuation
5.5
Growth
7.1
Dividend
7.3
Momentum
3.9
Risk & Context
5.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E18.39
Fwd P/E15.61
EV/EBITDA9.88
P/B2.55
P/S1.62
PEG0.81
Market cap10.97 B EUR
Enterprise value20.99 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)6.7%
Gross margin60.64%
FCF conversion-39%
Operating margin15.77%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.82%
ROA3.81%
Net margin8.84%
FCF-826.1 M EUR
FCF yield-7.53%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt11.66 B EUR
Net debt9.01 B EUR
Cash2.65 B EUR
EBITDA2.12 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA4.24
D/E218.87
Current ratio1.26
Quick ratio0.96
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth1.60%
Earnings growth222.20%
EPS (TTM)6.03 EUR
EPS (Fwd)7.10 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.71%
Payout49.8%
Beta0.88
Analyst consensusBuy (16)
Target price127.09 EUR
52-week range99.05 EUR – 133.90 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on long-haul air traffic in Paris, directly affected by geopolitical disruption in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which reduces passengers and pressures airport revenues.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

ADP (Aéroports de Paris) operates the Paris airports (Charles de Gaulle, Orly and Le Bourget) and has stakes in other international airports, generating revenue from airport fees, commercial services and real estate activities. ADP maintains a resilient business with an operating margin of 15.77% and earnings growth of 222%, but its high debt (ND/EBITDA 4.24) and negative cash conversion (-38.88%) weigh on its financial health and quality. Valuation is reasonable (P/E 18.39) and the dividend is well covered (payout 49.75%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.2
Quality / Moat4.4
Valuation5.5
Growth7.1
Dividend7.3
Momentum3.9
Risk & Context5.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

Direct exposure to geopolitical disruption in the Middle East: the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and regional tensions reduce long-haul air traffic at its Paris hub, as already reflected in the passenger decline. The risk of further escalation is real, but a reopening would reverse the impact quickly.

News considered in the analysis

  • Groupe ADP August traffic edges up as Paris passenger numbers decline — El tráfico de París cae mientras el grupo crece ligeramente; refleja la debilidad del hub principal, aunque el dato ya está parcialmente en el precio.
  • Is Aeroports de Paris (ENXTPA:ADP) Reasonably Priced on Cash Flow? — Artículo de análisis genérico sin información nueva.
  • Aeroports de Paris SA (AEOXF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Resilient EBITDA and ... — EBITDA resiliente en el primer semestre pese al contexto; refuerza la solidez operativa, aunque el mercado ya lo conocía.
  • Who would benefit most from a geopolitical reopening? — ADP es un claro candidato a beneficiarse de una reapertura de Ormuz y del fin de las disrupciones en rutas aéreas; el mercado aún no lo descuenta.
  • Aéroports de Paris traffic falls in April as Middle East disruption weighs — La caída de tráfico por la disrupción en Oriente Medio ya está ampliamente descontada en el precio y en las cifras de tráfico posteriores.

Verdict: Hold; geopolitical risk in the Middle East is the main drag on traffic, but a reopening could reverse the situation quickly.

Main risk: Dependence on long-haul air traffic in Paris, directly affected by geopolitical disruption in the Middle East and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which reduces passengers and pressures airport revenues.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.