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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Banco BPM BAMI.MI

Italy Financial Services
6.2/10
AI Analyst score
16.34 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 15.88 (-2.8%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the potential Monte dei Paschi bid adds upside optionality, but current fundamentals do not justify aggressive buying.

Banco BPM is an Italian commercial bank headquartered in Milan, offering retail, corporate, and asset management banking services, primarily in northern Italy. Banco BPM shows excellent operational quality (net margin 36.15%) and an attractive dividend yield (5.45%), but growth is negative (-18.7% in earnings) and the stock trades at the 83rd percentile of its 52-week range, limiting upside potential.

Financial health
4.7
Quality / Moat
9.6
Valuation
5.5
Growth
2.1
Dividend
7.5
Momentum
7.2
Risk & Context
5.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E12.86
Fwd P/E11.44
EV/EBITDAN/D
P/B1.57
P/S4.61
PEG1.81
Market cap24.59 B EUR
Enterprise value51.21 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.9%
Gross margin0.00%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin61.57%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.61%
ROA0.93%
Net margin36.15%
FCFN/D
FCF yieldN/D
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt51.84 B EUR
Net debt26.44 B EUR
Cash25.40 B EUR
EBITDAN/D
Net debt / EBITDAN/D
D/EN/D
Current ratioN/D
Quick ratioN/D
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-5.50%
Earnings growth-18.70%
EPS (TTM)1.27 EUR
EPS (Fwd)1.43 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield6.12%
Payout78.7%
Beta0.49
Analyst consensusHold (13)
Target price15.88 EUR
52-week range10.94 EUR – 17.45 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is regulatory and political uncertainty in Italy, where the government controls Monte dei Paschi and could push a forced merger that dilutes value for Banco BPM shareholders.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Banco BPM is an Italian commercial bank headquartered in Milan, offering retail, corporate, and asset management banking services, primarily in northern Italy. Banco BPM shows excellent operational quality (net margin 36.15%) and an attractive dividend yield (5.45%), but growth is negative (-18.7% in earnings) and the stock trades at the 83rd percentile of its 52-week range, limiting upside potential.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.7
Quality / Moat9.6
Valuation5.5
Growth2.1
Dividend7.5
Momentum7.2
Risk & Context5.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.2/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in Italy: the bank is at the center of a possible government-driven consolidation (Monte dei Paschi is state-controlled), introducing political and regulatory uncertainty about the entity's future.

News considered in the analysis

  • Monte Paschi launches €34bn bids for Banco BPM and Banca Generali — Oferta hostil de 34.000 millones de euros que podría transformar el sector bancario italiano; si se materializa, implicaría una revalorización significativa para los accionistas de Banco BPM.
  • Generali Mulling Monte dei Paschi’s $10 Billion Takeover Bid for Banca Generali — Movimiento especulativo que añade incertidumbre al panorama de fusiones y adquisiciones, pero no afecta directamente a los fundamentales de Banco BPM.
  • Italy launches antitrust probe into Intesa bid for Monte dei Paschi — La investigación antimonopolio podría retrasar o complicar la operación de Intesa, lo que indirectamente podría favorecer la posición de Banco BPM en el mercado.
  • Banco BPM (BIT:BAMI) Stock Looks Fairly Valued After Its Huge Run — Opinión de analista sin información nueva; el mercado ya ha descontado la revalorización de la acción.
  • Monte dei Paschi Pulls a Renaissance Plot Twist — Titular sin sustancia informativa relevante para la valoración de Banco BPM.

Verdict: Hold; the potential Monte dei Paschi bid adds upside optionality, but current fundamentals do not justify aggressive buying.

Main risk: The main risk is regulatory and political uncertainty in Italy, where the government controls Monte dei Paschi and could push a forced merger that dilutes value for Banco BPM shareholders.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.