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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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BHP Group BHP

Australia Basic Materials
7.3/10
AI Analyst score
84.97 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 76.25 (-10.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the Escondida accident is an operational risk to watch, but financial health and business quality remain solid.

BHP Group is one of the world's largest diversified miners, engaged in the extraction and processing of iron ore, copper, coal, and other resources, with operations mainly in Australia and the Americas. BHP shows solid fundamentals with a ROIC of 32.08% and an operating margin of 43.34%, but the fatal accident at Escondida and the suspension of activities add operational risk in the short term, while earnings growth is already negative (-9%).

Financial health
8.3
Quality / Moat
7.7
Valuation
6.2
Growth
5.4
Dividend
7.8
Momentum
9.2
Risk & Context
6.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E21.96
Fwd P/E18.14
EV/EBITDA7.73
P/B4.24
P/S3.68
PEG5.95
Market cap215.95 B USD
Enterprise value231.09 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)32.1%
Gross margin85.92%
FCF conversion32%
Operating margin43.34%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE24.00%
ROA13.43%
Net margin16.73%
FCF9.59 B USD
FCF yield4.44%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt28.43 B USD
Net debt9.87 B USD
Cash18.56 B USD
EBITDA29.90 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.33
D/E50.47
Current ratio1.89
Quick ratio1.43
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth18.30%
Earnings growth-9.00%
EPS (TTM)3.87 USD
EPS (Fwd)4.68 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.66%
Payout68.8%
Beta0.85
Analyst consensusHold (6)
Target price76.25 USD
52-week range52.18 USD – 98.71 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Operational risk at the Escondida copper mine, whose suspension after the fatal accident could affect production and results in the short term.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

BHP Group is one of the world's largest diversified miners, engaged in the extraction and processing of iron ore, copper, coal, and other resources, with operations mainly in Australia and the Americas. BHP shows solid fundamentals with a ROIC of 32.08% and an operating margin of 43.34%, but the fatal accident at Escondida and the suspension of activities add operational risk in the short term, while earnings growth is already negative (-9%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.3
Quality / Moat7.7
Valuation6.2
Growth5.4
Dividend7.8
Momentum9.2
Risk & Context6.8

OVERALL SCORE: 7.3/10

Context and risks

Operational risk at Escondida, its key copper mine, following the fatal accident and suspension of activities. Additionally, exposure to the Chilean jurisdiction with regulatory and labor risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • BHP suspends activities at Escondida mine after maintenance accident — Accidente mortal en la mina de cobre más grande del mundo; la suspensión de actividades afecta la producción y genera riesgo operativo y reputacional.
  • World's largest copper mine halts operations after worker death — Confirmación de la noticia anterior por Reuters; el impacto en la producción de cobre es material para BHP.
  • Top 3 Australian Dividend Stocks With Yield Over 3% — Listículo genérico sin información nueva sobre BHP.
  • Can Freeport-McMoRan's Growth Projects Drive the Next Expansion Wave? — Noticia sobre un competidor, sin impacto directo en BHP.
  • Arizona Eagle uncovers deeper shaft, advances McCabe gold redevelopment strategy — Noticia sobre una minera distinta, irrelevante para BHP.

Verdict: Hold; the Escondida accident is an operational risk to watch, but financial health and business quality remain solid.

Main risk: Operational risk at the Escondida copper mine, whose suspension after the fatal accident could affect production and results in the short term.

Other Basic Materials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.