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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Gold Fields GFI

South Africa Basic Materials
7.8/10
AI Analyst score
40.38 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 50.09 (+24.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: fundamentals are strong and valuation is reasonable, but governance risk and potential gold price reversal warrant caution.

Gold Fields is a South African gold mining company with operations in several countries, exploring, developing, and producing gold, selling it in the global market. Gold Fields shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.06) and exceptional quality (ROE 58.68%), with an attractive valuation (P/E 8.22) and a 5.06% dividend, but 81% earnings growth reflects the gold cycle peak and governance risk in South Africa limits appeal.

Financial health
9.0
Quality / Moat
9.1
Valuation
8.4
Growth
7.2
Dividend
8.5
Momentum
5.2
Risk & Context
5.1

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E8.22
Fwd P/E7.93
EV/EBITDA10.19
P/B8.02
P/S3.16
PEG11.59
Market cap35.97 B USD
Enterprise value72.64 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)87.8%
Gross margin57.77%
FCF conversion59%
Operating margin55.00%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE58.68%
ROA28.52%
Net margin38.65%
FCF4.18 B USD
FCF yield11.61%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.63 B USD
Net debt437.4 M USD
Cash2.20 B USD
EBITDA7.13 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.06
D/E28.56
Current ratio1.87
Quick ratio1.28
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth78.90%
Earnings growth81.40%
EPS (TTM)4.91 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.09 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield5.32%
Payout31.8%
Beta0.65
Analyst consensusBuy (8)
Target price50.09 USD
52-week range31.11 USD – 61.64 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the gold price, which could reverse sharply and compress margins, along with governance risk in South Africa that could affect minority shareholder protection.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Gold Fields is a South African gold mining company with operations in several countries, exploring, developing, and producing gold, selling it in the global market. Gold Fields shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.06) and exceptional quality (ROE 58.68%), with an attractive valuation (P/E 8.22) and a 5.06% dividend, but 81% earnings growth reflects the gold cycle peak and governance risk in South Africa limits appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health9.0
Quality / Moat9.1
Valuation8.4
Growth7.2
Dividend8.5
Momentum5.2
Risk & Context5.1

OVERALL SCORE: 7.8/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in South Africa, the country of domicile, with weak minority protection and possible state intervention. Additionally, the fall in gold and margin pressure in the mining sector add relevant market risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Update: Gold Fields' $27 Billion Takeover Bid for Northern Star Resources Rejected — El rechazo de la oferta elimina una posible adquisición transformadora que podría haber creado un líder global del oro, pero el mercado ya había descontado parte del riesgo de sobrepago.
  • Northern Star Rejects $27 Billion Takeover Proposal From Gold Fields — La noticia confirma el fracaso de la operación, lo que reduce las expectativas de crecimiento inorgánico y puede interpretarse como una señal de disciplina financiera.
  • Gold Fields approaches Northern Star over potential takeover, Bloomberg reports — El rumor de acercamiento ya estaba en el precio antes de que se confirmara el rechazo; su efecto neto es nulo.
  • Gold Fields (GFI) Rides A Gold Price Surge To Record Cash Flow — El repunte del oro y la producción récord impulsan el flujo de caja, un factor positivo que refuerza la salud financiera y la capacidad de retribución al accionista.
  • Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Production Surges 12% and Free Cash ... — El aumento del 12% en la producción y la generación de caja libre son resultados sólidos que superan las expectativas, aunque el mercado ya los ha incorporado parcialmente.

Verdict: Hold: fundamentals are strong and valuation is reasonable, but governance risk and potential gold price reversal warrant caution.

Main risk: The main risk is exposure to the gold price, which could reverse sharply and compress margins, along with governance risk in South Africa that could affect minority shareholder protection.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.