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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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CME Group CME

United States Financial Services
6.0/10
AI Analyst score
264.48 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 283.60 (+7.2%)
🛒 Where to buy CMEPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the quality of the moat is undeniable, but the valuation offers no margin of safety and growth is insufficient to justify the current multiple.

CME Group operates the world's largest financial derivatives exchange, offering futures and options on interest rates, indices, energy, and commodities, and acts as a central clearinghouse for its markets. CME Group shows exceptional quality with operating margins of 65% and an ROE of 15.8%, but its valuation is demanding (P/E 22.41) and growth is minimal (revenue +0.8%), limiting short-term appeal.

Financial health
5.8
Quality / Moat
9.8
Valuation
2.0
Growth
4.7
Dividend
4.1
Momentum
5.7
Risk & Context
8.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E22.41
Fwd P/E20.46
EV/EBITDA20.27
P/B3.58
P/S14.07
PEG4.60
Market cap95.10 B USD
Enterprise value96.69 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.4%
Gross margin100.00%
FCF conversion61%
Operating margin65.04%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE15.80%
ROA1.48%
Net margin63.44%
FCF2.91 B USD
FCF yield3.06%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.87 B USD
Net debt1.59 B USD
Cash2.28 B USD
EBITDA4.77 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.33
D/E14.59
Current ratio1.02
Quick ratio0.02
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth0.80%
Earnings growth2.50%
EPS (TTM)11.80 USD
EPS (Fwd)12.93 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.97%
Payout95.4%
Beta0.28
Analyst consensusHold (15)
Target price283.60 USD
52-week range218.31 USD – 329.16 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is dependence on market volatility to generate revenue; a prolonged low-volatility environment could reduce trading volumes and pressure results.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

CME Group operates the world's largest financial derivatives exchange, offering futures and options on interest rates, indices, energy, and commodities, and acts as a central clearinghouse for its markets. CME Group shows exceptional quality with operating margins of 65% and an ROE of 15.8%, but its valuation is demanding (P/E 22.41) and growth is minimal (revenue +0.8%), limiting short-term appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.8
Quality / Moat9.8
Valuation2.0
Growth4.7
Dividend4.1
Momentum5.7
Risk & Context8.6

OVERALL SCORE: 6.0/10

Context and risks

CME operates as a central clearinghouse, exposing it to ongoing regulatory scrutiny on margins and risk management. Additionally, its interest rate futures business is sensitive to market volatility, which is currently moderate (VIX 16.37).

News considered in the analysis

  • Is CME Group (CME) A Bargain Following Its New Leveraged Loan Futures Launch? — El lanzamiento de futuros sobre préstamos apalancados es una expansión de producto que puede abrir nuevas fuentes de ingresos, aunque su impacto en beneficios aún no se ha materializado.
  • Update: Rising Treasury Yields, Oil Prices Drag Down US Equity Futures Pre-Bell — Noticia de mercado general que afecta a los futuros de renta variable, no a los fundamentales de CME.
  • Rising Treasury Yields, Oil Prices Drag Down US Equity Futures Pre-Bell — Duplicado de la noticia anterior; sin información específica para CME.
  • Can Webull (BULL) Turn Record Trading Volumes into Lasting Long-Term Growth? — Artículo sobre un competidor (Webull), sin impacto directo en CME.
  • What Would You Have Needed To Notice In Coinbase Stock? — Análisis de Coinbase, sin relevancia para CME.

Verdict: Hold; the quality of the moat is undeniable, but the valuation offers no margin of safety and growth is insufficient to justify the current multiple.

Main risk: The main risk is dependence on market volatility to generate revenue; a prolonged low-volatility environment could reduce trading volumes and pressure results.

Other Financial Services companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.