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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Empire EMP-A.TO

Canada Consumer Defensive
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
48.16 CAD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 53.00 (+10.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; valuation is reasonable but the leveraged balance sheet and high payout warrant caution.

Empire Company Limited is one of Canada's largest supermarket and food distribution chains, operating stores such as Sobeys, Safeway, and FreshCo, and generating revenue primarily from retail grocery and pharmaceutical sales. Empire shows an attractive valuation (forward P/E 12.47, FCF yield 9.08%) and record results in the last quarter, but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.11) and a 91% payout limit its appeal.

Financial health
3.8
Quality / Moat
4.6
Valuation
6.2
Growth
5.8
Dividend
4.4
Momentum
4.7
Risk & Context
8.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E48.65
Fwd P/E12.47
EV/EBITDA7.65
P/B2.11
P/S0.33
PEG2.07
Market cap10.77 B CAD
Enterprise value18.37 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)11.9%
Gross margin27.19%
FCF conversion41%
Operating margin4.77%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE4.88%
ROA4.80%
Net margin0.68%
FCF978.5 M CAD
FCF yield9.08%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt7.78 B CAD
Net debt7.46 B CAD
Cash320.0 M CAD
EBITDA2.40 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA3.11
D/E147.52
Current ratio0.82
Quick ratio0.30
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.50%
Earnings growth14.00%
EPS (TTM)0.99 CAD
EPS (Fwd)3.86 CAD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.01%
Payout91.2%
Beta0.33
Analyst consensusHold (7)
Target price53.00 CAD
52-week range43.81 CAD – 52.64 CAD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.11) and a 91% payout leave little room for maneuver in the face of rising rates or a consumer slowdown.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Empire Company Limited is one of Canada's largest supermarket and food distribution chains, operating stores such as Sobeys, Safeway, and FreshCo, and generating revenue primarily from retail grocery and pharmaceutical sales. Empire shows an attractive valuation (forward P/E 12.47, FCF yield 9.08%) and record results in the last quarter, but its high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.11) and a 91% payout limit its appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.8
Quality / Moat4.6
Valuation6.2
Growth5.8
Dividend4.4
Momentum4.7
Risk & Context8.8

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

Empire operates in a defensive consumer sector with no direct exposure to rates, oil, or geopolitics. The only relevant factor is the agreement with the Canadian competition authority, which reduces regulatory risk, but the company maintains high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.11) that makes it sensitive to a high-rate environment.

News considered in the analysis

  • Sobeys' owner, Competition Bureau reach agreement on property controls — Acuerdo regulatorio que resuelve un punto de fricción con la autoridad de competencia, eliminando incertidumbre legal.
  • Competition Bureau And Empire Company Strike Property Controls Agreement — Misma noticia que la anterior; refuerza la resolución del conflicto regulatorio.
  • Empire (TSX:EMP.A) Stock Looks Overvalued On Its 31% Three Year Run — Opinión de un portal de análisis sin información nueva; no aporta datos concretos.
  • Empire Co Ltd (EMLAF) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Record EPS and Margin Expansion Amid ... — Resultados récord con expansión de márgenes; noticia material que ya ha sido parcialmente descontada por el mercado.
  • Empire Q1 Earnings Call Highlights — Resumen de la llamada de resultados; consistente con la noticia anterior.

Verdict: Hold; valuation is reasonable but the leveraged balance sheet and high payout warrant caution.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.11) and a 91% payout leave little room for maneuver in the face of rising rates or a consumer slowdown.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.