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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Chevron CVX

United States Energy
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
204.45 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 224.33 (+9.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The balance sheet is strong and the dividend attractive, but current growth is at its peak and the geopolitical risk of an oil price drop is significant.

Chevron is one of the world's largest integrated oil companies, engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and natural gas, with operations in more than 180 countries. Chevron presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.56) and spectacular growth (earnings +321.9%), but the latter is clearly cyclical and unsustainable. Valuation is reasonable (EV/EBITDA 8.59) and the dividend is well covered, although the P/E of 19.68 already discounts part of the bullish cycle.

Financial health
7.4
Quality / Moat
6.5
Valuation
6.1
Growth
7.2
Dividend
7.2
Momentum
5.9
Risk & Context
8.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E19.68
Fwd P/E14.46
EV/EBITDA8.59
P/B2.11
P/S1.92
PEG0.89
Market cap401.05 B USD
Enterprise value435.27 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)20.2%
Gross margin44.27%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin21.87%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.23%
ROA5.86%
Net margin9.83%
FCF21.93 B USD
FCF yield5.47%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt37.08 B USD
Net debt28.55 B USD
Cash8.53 B USD
EBITDA50.66 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.56
D/E18.96
Current ratio1.25
Quick ratio0.84
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth53.50%
Earnings growth321.90%
EPS (TTM)10.40 USD
EPS (Fwd)13.57 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.48%
Payout67.2%
Beta0.49
Analyst consensusBuy (24)
Target price224.33 USD
52-week range146.49 USD – 217.78 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is a cyclical reversal: if the geopolitical premium from Hormuz deflates, oil could fall sharply, compressing refining margins and earnings growth, which are currently at highs.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Chevron is one of the world's largest integrated oil companies, engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and natural gas, with operations in more than 180 countries. Chevron presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA of 0.56) and spectacular growth (earnings +321.9%), but the latter is clearly cyclical and unsustainable. Valuation is reasonable (EV/EBITDA 8.59) and the dividend is well covered, although the P/E of 19.68 already discounts part of the bullish cycle.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.4
Quality / Moat6.5
Valuation6.1
Growth7.2
Dividend7.2
Momentum5.9
Risk & Context8.0

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Chevron, as an integrated producer, benefits from high oil due to the WTI rise to $95, but its West Coast US refining business and exposure to global shipping routes add geopolitical risk from the Hormuz blockade. The asymmetry of a potential deal that sinks oil is a real risk to the sustainability of its current margins.

News considered in the analysis

  • HSBC sets new Chevron price target amid Iran tensions — Un ajuste de precio objetivo de un analista refleja la prima geopolítica actual, pero no es información fundamental nueva sobre la compañía.
  • Trump administration set to ease Biden-era fuel economy rules — La relajación de las normas de economía de combustible podría aumentar la demanda de gasolina, beneficiando los márgenes de refino de Chevron.
  • For Retirees Who Want Oil Income: Chevron vs. ExxonMobil — Comparativa genérica de dividendos sin información nueva.
  • 3 Dividend Stocks With At Least 3% Yield — Listículo sin información específica que no esté ya en el precio.
  • Own 141 Shares of Chevron (CVX) and Collect $1,000 a Year in Dividends — Contenido promocional sobre dividendos, sin información nueva.

Verdict: Hold. The balance sheet is strong and the dividend attractive, but current growth is at its peak and the geopolitical risk of an oil price drop is significant.

Main risk: The main risk is a cyclical reversal: if the geopolitical premium from Hormuz deflates, oil could fall sharply, compressing refining margins and earnings growth, which are currently at highs.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.