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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Expand Energy EXE

United States Energy
6.6/10
AI Analyst score
86.84 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 125.52 (+44.5%)
🛒 Where to buy EXEPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the valuation is attractive but the business deterioration and weak natural gas prices justify waiting for a stabilization signal before entering.

Expand Energy Corporation is a US exploration and production (E&P) company focused on natural gas, extracting and selling gas and associated liquids primarily in the Appalachian basin. Expand Energy trades at an EV/EBITDA of 3.45 and a P/E of 7.49, reflecting market pessimism amid falling revenue (-10.6%) and earnings (-45.5%). Its balance sheet is solid (ND/EBITDA of 0.46) and the dividend is covered, but the business is in full contraction and momentum is negative (4th percentile in 52 weeks).

Financial health
7.2
Quality / Moat
5.7
Valuation
8.4
Growth
0.3
Dividend
6.6
Momentum
2.2
Risk & Context
8.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E7.49
Fwd P/E10.15
EV/EBITDA3.45
P/B1.05
P/S1.64
PEG0.80
Market cap20.10 B USD
Enterprise value23.17 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.1%
Gross margin47.07%
FCF conversion22%
Operating margin26.32%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE14.89%
ROA8.49%
Net margin21.97%
FCF1.47 B USD
FCF yield7.29%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.73 B USD
Net debt3.06 B USD
Cash663.0 M USD
EBITDA6.72 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.46
D/E19.21
Current ratio0.96
Quick ratio0.59
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-10.60%
Earnings growth-45.50%
EPS (TTM)11.60 USD
EPS (Fwd)8.55 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.65%
Payout27.5%
Beta0.32
Analyst consensusBuy (27)
Target price125.52 USD
52-week range84.98 USD – 126.62 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the continued decline in earnings (-45.5%) due to weak natural gas prices, which could persist and turn the seemingly cheap valuation into a value trap.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Expand Energy Corporation is a US exploration and production (E&P) company focused on natural gas, extracting and selling gas and associated liquids primarily in the Appalachian basin. Expand Energy trades at an EV/EBITDA of 3.45 and a P/E of 7.49, reflecting market pessimism amid falling revenue (-10.6%) and earnings (-45.5%). Its balance sheet is solid (ND/EBITDA of 0.46) and the dividend is covered, but the business is in full contraction and momentum is negative (4th percentile in 52 weeks).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.2
Quality / Moat5.7
Valuation8.4
Growth0.3
Dividend6.6
Momentum2.2
Risk & Context8.4

OVERALL SCORE: 6.6/10

Context and risks

The crude oil rally and Ormuz tensions raise the geopolitical risk premium for all energy, but Expand Energy is a gas producer in the Appalachians, not crude, and its exposure to maritime routes is minimal. The main risk is natural gas price volatility itself, not the current geopolitical context.

News considered in the analysis

  • Natural Gas Gains 2.9% for the Week: What's Driving the Rise? — La subida semanal del gas natural es un viento a favor directo para los precios realizados de Expand Energy, aunque la sostenibilidad de la subida es incierta.
  • Is Expand Energy Stock Underperforming the S&P 500? — Artículo de comparación genérica sin información nueva sobre los fundamentales de la empresa.
  • Update: WhiteHawk Minerals Closes $111.8 Million in Acquisitions — Noticia sobre una empresa distinta (WhiteHawk Minerals), sin impacto directo en Expand Energy.
  • 3 Stocks Put Traders Are Targeting Today: EXE, APH, WMB — Ruido de mercado sobre opciones, sin información fundamental nueva.
  • Spotting Winners: Expand Energy (NASDAQ:EXE) And Infrastructure Stocks In Q2 — Análisis retrospectivo de resultados trimestrales, sin información nueva no descontada.

Verdict: Hold; the valuation is attractive but the business deterioration and weak natural gas prices justify waiting for a stabilization signal before entering.

Main risk: The main risk is the continued decline in earnings (-45.5%) due to weak natural gas prices, which could persist and turn the seemingly cheap valuation into a value trap.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.