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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Shell SHEL.L

United Kingdom Energy
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
36.59 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 39.16 (+7.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the solid financial position and reasonable valuation offset the risk of earnings normalization and geopolitical exposure in Ormuz.

Shell is an integrated energy company that explores, produces, refines, and markets oil and gas, as well as operating a network of service stations and renewable energy businesses. Shell presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.72) and an attractive valuation (P/E 10.79, EV/EBITDA 5.53), but its 220% earnings growth is clearly at a cyclical peak, warranting caution about its future sustainability.

Financial health
7.2
Quality / Moat
5.8
Valuation
8.1
Growth
7.2
Dividend
4.1
Momentum
5.0
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E10.79
Fwd P/E9.74
EV/EBITDA5.53
P/B1.59
P/S0.93
PEG1.61
Market cap208.70 B GBP
Enterprise value318.46 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)20.0%
Gross margin26.09%
FCF conversion37%
Operating margin16.69%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE14.34%
ROA6.40%
Net margin8.76%
FCF21.46 B USD
FCF yield7.75%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt73.08 B USD
Net debt41.70 B USD
Cash31.37 B USD
EBITDA57.61 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.72
D/E40.20
Current ratio1.44
Quick ratio0.98
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth44.70%
Earnings growth220.00%
EPS (TTM)3.42 GBP
EPS (Fwd)3.76 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.03%
Payout32.8%
Beta-0.22
Analyst consensusBuy (16)
Target price39.16 GBP
52-week range25.54 GBP – 37.59 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is a reversal in the crude oil price environment, especially due to a potential agreement in the Strait of Hormuz, which could compress refining margins and sharply reduce current earnings.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Shell is an integrated energy company that explores, produces, refines, and markets oil and gas, as well as operating a network of service stations and renewable energy businesses. Shell presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.72) and an attractive valuation (P/E 10.79, EV/EBITDA 5.53), but its 220% earnings growth is clearly at a cyclical peak, warranting caution about its future sustainability.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.2
Quality / Moat5.8
Valuation8.1
Growth7.2
Dividend4.1
Momentum5.0
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Material geopolitical risk due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for crude and LNG transport. Although Shell benefits from high crude, the asymmetry is to the downside: a sudden agreement could reverse prices and exceptional refining margins in days, not quarters.

News considered in the analysis

  • Buybacks, Balance Sheet Strength and Portfolio Strategy in Focus for Shell (SHEL) — El enfoque en recompras y solidez del balance refuerza la disciplina de capital, un factor positivo moderado ya parcialmente reflejado en el precio.
  • Shell (SHEL) is Eyeing a Massive LNG Expansion in Canada: Could this Be its Next Big Move? — Una expansión masiva de GNL en Canadá es un proyecto transformador potencial, pero aún no aprobado ni financiado, por lo que su impacto es incierto y no está en el precio.
  • Louis Navellier finds two stocks benefiting from tight global supply — La mención de Shell como beneficiaria de la oferta ajustada es una opinión de analista que refuerza el contexto positivo del sector, sin información nueva material.
  • At Gastech 2026, Wison New Energies’ Floating Data Center Concept Signals Broader Offshore Engineering Leadership — Noticia sobre otra empresa (Wison) y un concepto no relacionado directamente con los resultados de Shell; es ruido para el análisis.
  • Talos Energy (TALO) Acquires Deepwater Gulf Of Mexico Assets — Noticia sobre un competidor (Talos) que no afecta directamente a la valoración o beneficios de Shell.

Verdict: Hold; the solid financial position and reasonable valuation offset the risk of earnings normalization and geopolitical exposure in Ormuz.

Main risk: The main risk is a reversal in the crude oil price environment, especially due to a potential agreement in the Strait of Hormuz, which could compress refining margins and sharply reduce current earnings.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.