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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Darden Restaurants DRI

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.8/10
AI Analyst score
199.75 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 234.42 (+17.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; monitor the impact of the outbreak at Olive Garden and debt evolution amid high rates.

Darden Restaurants operates and franchises a portfolio of full-service restaurants in the United States, including brands such as Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and The Capital Grille, focused on the casual and upscale casual dining segment. Darden shows weak financial health (ND/EBITDA 3.90, liquidity 0.30) and negative earnings growth (-6.70%), but its ROE of 55.43% and sustainable dividend (payout 59.42%) offer some stability; valuation is reasonable (P/E 19.13) and positive momentum (18.26) suggests market confidence.

Financial health
3.1
Quality / Moat
6.0
Valuation
6.1
Growth
4.1
Dividend
7.5
Momentum
7.1
Risk & Context
7.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E19.13
Fwd P/E16.11
EV/EBITDA14.49
P/B10.32
P/S1.70
PEG1.78
Market cap22.68 B USD
Enterprise value31.04 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.2%
Gross margin21.66%
FCF conversion48%
Operating margin9.85%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE55.43%
ROA7.65%
Net margin8.85%
FCF1.02 B USD
FCF yield4.50%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt8.57 B USD
Net debt8.35 B USD
Cash220.5 M USD
EBITDA2.14 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.90
D/E414.39
Current ratio0.30
Quick ratio0.11
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.10%
Earnings growth-6.70%
EPS (TTM)10.45 USD
EPS (Fwd)12.40 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.24%
Payout59.4%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusBuy (24)
Target price234.42 USD
52-week range169.00 USD – 229.76 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the impact of the deadly outbreak at Olive Garden on traffic and sales, along with high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.90) that could strain the balance sheet if rates remain high.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Darden Restaurants operates and franchises a portfolio of full-service restaurants in the United States, including brands such as Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and The Capital Grille, focused on the casual and upscale casual dining segment. Darden shows weak financial health (ND/EBITDA 3.90, liquidity 0.30) and negative earnings growth (-6.70%), but its ROE of 55.43% and sustainable dividend (payout 59.42%) offer some stability; valuation is reasonable (P/E 19.13) and positive momentum (18.26) suggests market confidence.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.1
Quality / Moat6.0
Valuation6.1
Growth4.1
Dividend7.5
Momentum7.1
Risk & Context7.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.8/10

Context and risks

The deadly outbreak linked to Olive Garden introduces reputational and regulatory risk (possible health investigations) that could affect traffic and sales. Additionally, the rise in 10-year Treasury rates (5.17%) pressures the valuation of a company with net debt/EBITDA of 3.90, although the effect is already partially captured by the engine.

News considered in the analysis

  • Olive Garden forced to pause summer ad push for unlimited soup, salad and breadsticks after deadly outbreak spooked U.S. — El brote mortal vinculado a la promoción de Olive Garden ha obligado a pausar una campaña publicitaria clave, lo que podría afectar el tráfico y las ventas a corto plazo, aunque el impacto financiero aún no se ha cuantificado.
  • Better Dividend Bet: DRI or SBUX? The Cash Flow Numbers Reveal a Clear Winner — Comparativa genérica entre dos empresas sin información nueva sobre Darden.
  • Darden Restaurants Serves Up Fresh Catalysts for a Stock Price Rally — Artículo que menciona catalizadores potenciales (innovación en menús, expansión de marcas) sin datos concretos; impacto moderado y parcialmente descontado.
  • Cracker Barrel Stock Is Rallying Again, But the Turnaround Still Has a Traffic Problem — Noticia sobre un competidor (Cracker Barrel) sin impacto directo en Darden.
  • Exclusivity Lite? Everyday Brands Help Sell Near-Premium Credit Cards — Artículo sobre tarjetas de crédito que menciona marcas de consumo, sin relevancia para Darden.

Verdict: Hold; monitor the impact of the outbreak at Olive Garden and debt evolution amid high rates.

Main risk: The main risk is the impact of the deadly outbreak at Olive Garden on traffic and sales, along with high leverage (ND/EBITDA 3.90) that could strain the balance sheet if rates remain high.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.