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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Hilton HLT

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.4/10
AI Analyst score
313.96 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 353.00 (+12.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, given the balance between its strong quality and demanding valuation, with risks from rising rates.

Hilton operates hotels and resorts globally under franchise and management agreements, generating revenue from fees. Hilton shows weak financial health (score 5.38) with a net debt/EBITDA of 4.21, but its quality is excellent (score 7.86) with operating margins of 63%. Valuation is demanding (P/E 46.1) and growth is moderate (2.5%).

Financial health
4.8
Quality / Moat
7.9
Valuation
3.2
Growth
5.9
Dividend
2.7
Momentum
6.4
Risk & Context
5.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E46.10
Fwd P/E30.03
EV/EBITDA27.11
P/B-11.24
P/S13.84
PEG1.30
Market cap70.66 B USD
Enterprise value83.71 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)N/D
Gross margin79.04%
FCF conversion45%
Operating margin62.99%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROA11.03%
Net margin31.03%
FCF1.39 B USD
FCF yield1.97%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt14.02 B USD
Net debt13.01 B USD
Cash1.01 B USD
EBITDA3.09 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA4.21
D/EN/D
Current ratio0.65
Quick ratio0.55
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.50%
Earnings growth14.10%
EPS (TTM)6.81 USD
EPS (Fwd)10.46 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.19%
Payout8.8%
Beta1.06
Analyst consensusnone (26)
Target price353.00 USD
52-week range253.54 USD – 358.00 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 4.21) and sensitivity to interest rates, which could pressure its valuation and increase the cost of its debt.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Hilton operates hotels and resorts globally under franchise and management agreements, generating revenue from fees. Hilton shows weak financial health (score 5.38) with a net debt/EBITDA of 4.21, but its quality is excellent (score 7.86) with operating margins of 63%. Valuation is demanding (P/E 46.1) and growth is moderate (2.5%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.8
Quality / Moat7.9
Valuation3.2
Growth5.9
Dividend2.7
Momentum6.4
Risk & Context5.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.4/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) and the long duration of Hilton's business (P/E 46.1) pressure its valuation. However, the strength of the dollar (DXY 101.09) could affect demand for international travel to the US, a risk to its occupancy.

News considered in the analysis

  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Leans Into Sports Tourism While Fair Value Stays In View — La estrategia de turismo deportivo es un motor de crecimiento moderado, pero el impacto en beneficios es incierto y ya está parcialmente descontado.
  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Debuts Football Legacy Suite Ahead Of Los Angeles Super Bowl LXI — La iniciativa de la suite para el Super Bowl es un evento puntual que puede impulsar ingresos y visibilidad de marca, con impacto positivo en el corto plazo.
  • 3 Consumer Stocks That Concern Us — La preocupación genérica sobre el consumo discrecional es un viento en contra, pero no es específica de Hilton y su impacto es incierto.
  • Is Booking's Slowdown A Pause Or Its New Pace? — La desaceleración de Booking, un competidor clave, sugiere una posible debilidad en la demanda de viajes, lo que podría afectar a Hilton.
  • Marriott (MAR) vs Hilton (HLT): Which is a Better Stock to Buy — Comparación genérica entre competidores sin información nueva o material.

Verdict: Hold, given the balance between its strong quality and demanding valuation, with risks from rising rates.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 4.21) and sensitivity to interest rates, which could pressure its valuation and increase the cost of its debt.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.