⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Etsy ETSY

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
68.44 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 88.19 (+28.9%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; valuation is reasonable but leverage and slow growth limit near-term upside.

Etsy operates a global online marketplace connecting buyers with independent sellers of handmade, vintage, and craft supplies, charging a commission on each sale. Etsy shows tight financial health (ND/EBITDA 4.15) and moderate revenue growth (6.2%), but its forward valuation is attractive (fwd P/E 9.93, PEG 0.72) and its gross margin is very high (71.4%), suggesting a quality business with a moat, though sensitive to the consumer cycle.

Financial health
5.1
Quality / Moat
7.2
Valuation
6.1
Growth
5.7
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
8.6
Risk & Context
2.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E21.66
Fwd P/E9.93
EV/EBITDA17.49
P/B-4.53
P/S2.14
PEG0.72
Market cap6.28 B USD
Enterprise value8.24 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)N/D
Gross margin71.40%
FCF conversion36%
Operating margin18.74%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROA10.53%
Net margin7.11%
FCF169.7 M USD
FCF yield2.70%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.08 B USD
Net debt1.95 B USD
Cash1.12 B USD
EBITDA470.8 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA4.15
D/EN/D
Current ratio1.48
Quick ratio0.89
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.20%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)3.16 USD
EPS (Fwd)6.89 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.81
Analyst consensusBuy (27)
Target price88.19 USD
52-week range44.00 USD – 87.97 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.15) in a rising rate environment makes refinancing more expensive and could pressure financial health if growth does not accelerate.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Etsy operates a global online marketplace connecting buyers with independent sellers of handmade, vintage, and craft supplies, charging a commission on each sale. Etsy shows tight financial health (ND/EBITDA 4.15) and moderate revenue growth (6.2%), but its forward valuation is attractive (fwd P/E 9.93, PEG 0.72) and its gross margin is very high (71.4%), suggesting a quality business with a moat, though sensitive to the consumer cycle.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.1
Quality / Moat7.2
Valuation6.1
Growth5.7
Dividend1.5
Momentum8.6
Risk & Context2.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rising rates, geopolitical tensions) affects Etsy only indirectly through discretionary spending and growth valuation, already covered by quantitative scores. There is no direct exposure to commodities, shipping routes, or specific regulation that would justify an additional adjustment.

News considered in the analysis

  • Why Etsy (ETSY) Stock Is Trading Lower Today — Caída del precio sin catalizador específico; refleja el sentimiento negativo del sector de consumo discrecional y la presión sobre valoraciones de crecimiento.
  • CoreWeave upgraded, Etsy downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls — Downgrade de analista; señala preocupación por el crecimiento y la valoración, aunque el impacto directo en fundamentales es limitado.
  • Etsy, CarGurus, Cars.com, and EverQuote Shares Are Falling, What You Need To Know — Caída sectorial en consumo discrecional; refleja la debilidad del gasto del consumidor y la sensibilidad a tipos de interés.
  • How Much Upside Is Left In eBay Stock? — Análisis comparativo de un competidor; sin información nueva sobre Etsy.
  • What Could Etsy (ETSY) Gain From New Payout Options In 15 Countries? — Expansión de opciones de pago internacionales; podría mejorar la conversión y el crecimiento, pero el impacto es incierto y a medio plazo.

Verdict: Hold; valuation is reasonable but leverage and slow growth limit near-term upside.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 4.15) in a rising rate environment makes refinancing more expensive and could pressure financial health if growth does not accelerate.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.