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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Mondi MNDI.L

United Kingdom Basic Materials
3.6/10
AI Analyst score
8.12 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 9.02 (+11.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold or avoid: high leverage and negative profitability make the risk outweigh the short-term revaluation potential.

Mondi is a UK-based packaging and paper company that manufactures sustainable paper-based packaging and pulp solutions for industrial and consumer clients. Mondi presents a severely deteriorated financial profile: net debt of 6.4x EBITDA, negative operating margin (-3.87%) and negative ROIC (-3.98%), which explains its low quality (1.87) and health (3.54) scores. The forward P/E of 14.56 seems attractive but is justified by business weakness, not by a value opportunity.

Financial health
2.9
Quality / Moat
1.9
Valuation
4.8
Growth
4.7
Dividend
0.4
Momentum
1.2
Risk & Context
7.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E14.56
EV/EBITDA16.52
P/B0.88
P/S0.54
PEGN/D
Market cap3.58 B GBP
Enterprise value6.81 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-4.0%
Gross margin39.07%
FCF conversion-12%
Operating margin-3.87%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-4.68%
ROA-0.34%
Net margin-3.36%
FCF-51.5 M EUR
FCF yield-1.23%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.79 B EUR
Net debt2.64 B EUR
Cash157.0 M EUR
EBITDA412.0 M EUR
Net debt / EBITDA6.40
D/E55.98
Current ratio1.55
Quick ratio0.89
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth1.70%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)-0.51 GBP
EPS (Fwd)0.56 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.01%
Payout190.0%
Beta0.61
Analyst consensusHold (14)
Target price9.02 GBP
52-week range6.60 GBP – 10.58 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: Extreme leverage (ND/EBITDA of 6.4) combined with a negative operating margin makes the company highly vulnerable to a high-rate environment and weak demand in the paper sector.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Mondi is a UK-based packaging and paper company that manufactures sustainable paper-based packaging and pulp solutions for industrial and consumer clients. Mondi presents a severely deteriorated financial profile: net debt of 6.4x EBITDA, negative operating margin (-3.87%) and negative ROIC (-3.98%), which explains its low quality (1.87) and health (3.54) scores. The forward P/E of 14.56 seems attractive but is justified by business weakness, not by a value opportunity.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health2.9
Quality / Moat1.9
Valuation4.8
Growth4.7
Dividend0.4
Momentum1.2
Risk & Context7.7

OVERALL SCORE: 3.6/10

Context and risks

Rising interest rates make refinancing more expensive given net debt of 6.4x EBITDA, a very high leverage for the sector. The weakness in the paper sector and the drop in momentum reflect a weak demand environment.

News considered in the analysis

  • Mondi (LSE:MNDI) Stock Fair Value Edges Higher After Split Analyst Revisions — Revisiones de analistas tras el split, impacto moderado y parcialmente descontado.
  • Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Clearwater Paper, Mondi plc and Klabin — Listículo sectorial sin información nueva sobre Mondi.
  • 3 Paper and Related Products Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Challenges — Listículo genérico, sin información específica.
  • FIXIT GRUPPE cuts packaging emissions in Europe with Mondi — Nuevo cliente para soluciones de embalaje sostenible, refuerza la propuesta de valor.
  • Mondi introduces laser-marked flexible packaging — Innovación de producto que puede mejorar la oferta y el margen a largo plazo.

Verdict: Hold or avoid: high leverage and negative profitability make the risk outweigh the short-term revaluation potential.

Main risk: Extreme leverage (ND/EBITDA of 6.4) combined with a negative operating margin makes the company highly vulnerable to a high-rate environment and weak demand in the paper sector.

Other Basic Materials companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.