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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Fresnillo FRES.L

Mexico Basic Materials
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
27.06 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 32.92 (+21.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; quality is high, but the cyclical peak and governance risk in Mexico limit attractiveness at these levels.

Fresnillo is a Mexican mining company dedicated to the extraction and production of precious metals, mainly silver and gold, with operations in Mexico. Fresnillo shows solid financial health (net cash, ND/EBITDA -0.41) and exceptional quality (ROE 52.98%, operating margin 63.05%), but its valuation (P/E 11.56) and growth (earnings +227.6%) are at a cyclical peak, with risk of normalization in precious metals prices.

Financial health
9.0
Quality / Moat
8.8
Valuation
5.2
Growth
7.2
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
7.7
Risk & Context
4.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E11.56
Fwd P/E12.19
EV/EBITDA6.16
P/B5.71
P/S4.40
PEG1.56
Market cap19.94 B GBP
Enterprise value24.79 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)69.0%
Gross margin66.49%
FCF conversion50%
Operating margin63.05%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE52.98%
ROA33.44%
Net margin37.95%
FCF2.00 B USD
FCF yield7.56%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt853.5 M USD
Net debt-1.65 B USD
Cash2.50 B USD
EBITDA4.03 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-0.41
D/E15.39
Current ratio6.35
Quick ratio5.53
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth74.70%
Earnings growth227.60%
EPS (TTM)2.34 GBP
EPS (Fwd)2.20 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.04%
Payout41.5%
Beta0.73
Analyst consensusHold (14)
Target price32.92 GBP
52-week range20.00 GBP – 44.72 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of silver and gold prices, which would reverse current earnings and revenue growth, along with governance risk in Mexico.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Fresnillo is a Mexican mining company dedicated to the extraction and production of precious metals, mainly silver and gold, with operations in Mexico. Fresnillo shows solid financial health (net cash, ND/EBITDA -0.41) and exceptional quality (ROE 52.98%, operating margin 63.05%), but its valuation (P/E 11.56) and growth (earnings +227.6%) are at a cyclical peak, with risk of normalization in precious metals prices.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health9.0
Quality / Moat8.8
Valuation5.2
Growth7.2
Dividend4.8
Momentum7.7
Risk & Context4.8

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Elevated governance risk in Mexico. Fresnillo operates primarily in Mexico, with exposure to regulatory, fiscal, and security risks in the country.

News considered in the analysis

  • Mining Stocks Slide as Metals Prices Fall — La caída de los precios de los metales presiona directamente los ingresos de Fresnillo, aunque el efecto ya está parcialmente reflejado en el precio de la acción.
  • Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk — Resumen de mercado sin información específica nueva sobre Fresnillo.
  • Will La Colorada Mine Strengthen PAAS' Long-Term Growth? — Noticia sobre un competidor (Pan American Silver), no sobre Fresnillo; sin impacto directo.
  • European Indexes Largely Higher at Open — Movimiento general del mercado sin relevancia específica para Fresnillo.
  • European Indexes Mixed as Tech Stocks Rise, Miners Fall — La debilidad del sector minero en Europa refleja la presión sobre los precios de los metales, afectando a Fresnillo.

Verdict: Hold; quality is high, but the cyclical peak and governance risk in Mexico limit attractiveness at these levels.

Main risk: The main risk is the normalization of silver and gold prices, which would reverse current earnings and revenue growth, along with governance risk in Mexico.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.