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Smithfield Foods SFD

United States Consumer Defensive
6.4/10
AI Analyst score
19.04 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 26.75 (+40.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; valuation is attractive but operational deterioration in the fresh pork business warrants caution.

Smithfield Foods is the world's largest pork producer, with a vertically integrated model that spans from hog farming to processing and sale of fresh and processed pork products under brands like Smithfield and Farmland. Smithfield trades at a P/E of 7.08 and a FCF yield of 7.05%, but the forecast loss in the fresh pork segment and industry margin compression cloud short-term growth.

Financial health
7.3
Quality / Moat
4.7
Valuation
8.7
Growth
5.0
Dividend
9.1
Momentum
4.8
Risk & Context
4.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E7.08
Fwd P/E8.71
EV/EBITDA5.24
P/B1.07
P/S0.48
PEG0.34
Market cap7.50 B USD
Enterprise value8.85 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)13.8%
Gross margin13.46%
FCF conversion31%
Operating margin8.40%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE15.45%
ROA7.31%
Net margin6.84%
FCF528.2 M USD
FCF yield7.05%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.40 B USD
Net debt1.05 B USD
Cash1.35 B USD
EBITDA1.69 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.62
D/E32.76
Current ratio2.56
Quick ratio1.21
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-2.30%
Earnings growth25.50%
EPS (TTM)2.69 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.25 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield6.57%
Payout41.8%
BetaN/D
Analyst consensusStrong buy (6)
Target price26.75 USD
52-week range18.81 USD – 29.80 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is margin compression in the fresh pork segment, which has already led the company to warn of a Q3 loss and could persist if hog supply does not adjust.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Smithfield Foods is the world's largest pork producer, with a vertically integrated model that spans from hog farming to processing and sale of fresh and processed pork products under brands like Smithfield and Farmland. Smithfield trades at a P/E of 7.08 and a FCF yield of 7.05%, but the forecast loss in the fresh pork segment and industry margin compression cloud short-term growth.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.3
Quality / Moat4.7
Valuation8.7
Growth5.0
Dividend9.1
Momentum4.8
Risk & Context4.8

OVERALL SCORE: 6.4/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rising rates, geopolitical tensions) does not materially affect Smithfield: it is a defensive consumer company with no direct exposure to rates, commodities, or technology. Its business depends on the hog cycle and processing margins, not the general macro environment.

News considered in the analysis

  • Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock Could Trade At A Discount Despite A 13% Slide — Artículo de opinión sin información nueva; no aporta datos concretos sobre la empresa.
  • Smithfield Foods (SFD) Warns of Fresh Pork Loss as Industry Spreads Compress — Profit warning para el segmento de cerdo fresco por compresión de márgenes en el sector, hecho ya comunicado y parcialmente descontado en la caída del 13%.
  • Smithfield Foods forecasts Q3 loss for fresh-pork arm — Previsión de pérdidas en el tercer trimestre para la división de cerdo fresco; noticia material que refuerza la debilidad operativa a corto plazo.
  • Jim Cramer on Smithfield Foods (SFD): “It’s a Very Inexpensive Stock” — Comentario positivo de Jim Cramer sobre la valoración; opinión de analista que puede apoyar el sentimiento, pero sin impacto fundamental directo.
  • 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks Near Their 52-Week Lows That Income Investors Are Sleeping On — Listículo genérico que menciona a la empresa sin información específica; sin impacto.

Verdict: Hold; valuation is attractive but operational deterioration in the fresh pork business warrants caution.

Main risk: The main risk is margin compression in the fresh pork segment, which has already led the company to warn of a Q3 loss and could persist if hog supply does not adjust.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.