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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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H World Group HTHT

China Consumer Cyclical
6.6/10
AI Analyst score
42.00 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 60.62 (+44.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution due to governance risk in China and dividend sustainability.

H World Group Limited is a leading hotel operator in China, with a business model combining managed, franchised, and directly owned hotels, focused on the midscale and economy segment. H World shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.10, operating margin 31.15%) and exceptional quality (ROE 38.13%), with an attractive forward valuation (P/E 13.18, PEG 0.27). However, earnings growth is negative (-1.00%) and the payout ratio of 155.93% is unsustainable, introducing medium-term risks.

Financial health
7.0
Quality / Moat
7.8
Valuation
7.4
Growth
5.5
Dividend
4.4
Momentum
6.6
Risk & Context
5.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E30.00
Fwd P/E13.18
EV/EBITDA12.10
P/B6.94
P/S3.34
PEG0.27
Market cap13.25 B USD
Enterprise value107.56 B CNY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)17.6%
Gross margin41.10%
FCF conversion83%
Operating margin31.15%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE38.13%
ROA7.45%
Net margin18.93%
FCF7.37 B CNY
FCF yield8.29%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt34.23 B CNY
Net debt18.67 B CNY
Cash15.56 B CNY
EBITDA8.89 B CNY
Net debt / EBITDA2.10
D/E240.49
Current ratio1.21
Quick ratio1.12
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth10.80%
Earnings growth-1.00%
EPS (TTM)1.40 USD
EPS (Fwd)3.19 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield5.17%
Payout155.9%
Beta0.13
Analyst consensusStrong buy (17)
Target price60.62 USD
52-week range36.56 USD – 56.64 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is exposure to China, with a weak governance environment that could affect minority shareholder protection and the stability of the domestic hotel business.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

H World Group Limited is a leading hotel operator in China, with a business model combining managed, franchised, and directly owned hotels, focused on the midscale and economy segment. H World shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.10, operating margin 31.15%) and exceptional quality (ROE 38.13%), with an attractive forward valuation (P/E 13.18, PEG 0.27). However, earnings growth is negative (-1.00%) and the payout ratio of 155.93% is unsustainable, introducing medium-term risks.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.0
Quality / Moat7.8
Valuation7.4
Growth5.5
Dividend4.4
Momentum6.6
Risk & Context5.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.6/10

Context and risks

High exposure to China, with elevated governance risk. The domestic hotel business depends on consumer confidence and regulatory stability in a weak institutional environment, justifying a significant penalty.

News considered in the analysis

  • How H World Group Limited (HTHT) Captures China’s Domestic Lodging Expansion? — Artículo de análisis que destaca la expansión en el mercado doméstico chino, un motor de crecimiento conocido y ya parcialmente reflejado en el precio.
  • H World Group (HTHT) Expansion Story Keeps Its Undervalued Narrative In Focus — Refuerza la narrativa de infravaloración basada en el crecimiento de la expansión, sin datos nuevos materiales.
  • H World (HTHT) Cleared Its $2B Promise Early, Then Topped It — Noticia positiva material: la empresa superó su objetivo de retorno de capital de 2.000 millones de dólares antes de lo previsto, lo que demuestra una sólida generación de caja y compromiso con el accionista.
  • Looking for a Growth Stock? 3 Reasons Why H World Group (HTHT) is a Solid Choice — Artículo promocional de Zacks con argumentos genéricos de crecimiento; impacto moderado y ya descontado en gran medida.
  • Bet on 4 Top-Ranked Stocks With Rising P/E — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre la empresa; se ignora.

Verdict: Hold, with caution due to governance risk in China and dividend sustainability.

Main risk: The main risk is exposure to China, with a weak governance environment that could affect minority shareholder protection and the stability of the domestic hotel business.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.