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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Humana HUM

United States Healthcare
6.2/10
AI Analyst score
397.93 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 423.74 (+6.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; positive momentum and expectations of improved star ratings are encouraging, but valuation and margin limit upside potential.

Humana Inc. is a US health insurer offering Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and commercial plans, managing the health risk of its members in exchange for premiums. Humana shows strong growth (revenue +26.2%, earnings +27.1%) and a net cash position (DN/EBITDA -2.54), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 37.61) and its operating margin is low (3.46%), reflecting the competitive Medicare Advantage environment.

Financial health
6.8
Quality / Moat
4.8
Valuation
5.0
Growth
8.5
Dividend
5.4
Momentum
8.7
Risk & Context
7.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E37.61
Fwd P/E23.98
EV/EBITDA10.77
P/B2.49
P/S0.33
PEG1.33
Market cap47.78 B USD
Enterprise value38.72 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.9%
Gross margin13.65%
FCF conversion54%
Operating margin3.46%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE6.89%
ROA3.90%
Net margin0.88%
FCF1.94 B USD
FCF yield4.06%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt14.74 B USD
Net debt-9.13 B USD
Cash23.87 B USD
EBITDA3.60 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-2.54
D/E76.48
Current ratio1.74
Quick ratio1.28
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth26.20%
Earnings growth27.10%
EPS (TTM)10.57 USD
EPS (Fwd)16.57 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.89%
Payout33.5%
Beta0.74
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price423.74 USD
52-week range163.11 USD – 428.88 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is dependence on Medicare star ratings and regulatory changes in payment rates, which can significantly affect revenue and margins.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Humana Inc. is a US health insurer offering Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and commercial plans, managing the health risk of its members in exchange for premiums. Humana shows strong growth (revenue +26.2%, earnings +27.1%) and a net cash position (DN/EBITDA -2.54), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 37.61) and its operating margin is low (3.46%), reflecting the competitive Medicare Advantage environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.8
Quality / Moat4.8
Valuation5.0
Growth8.5
Dividend5.4
Momentum8.7
Risk & Context7.0

OVERALL SCORE: 6.2/10

Context and risks

Inherent regulatory risk in the Medicare Advantage sector: changes in payment rates or star ratings can materially affect revenue. Governance in the US is moderate, but pricing pressure is a real risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Humana (HUM) Jumped, But What Is Drawing Fresh Attention Now? — Artículo especulativo sobre el interés reciente en Humana, sin datos concretos; impacto moderado y parcialmente descontado.
  • Why Humana (HUM) Stock Is Up Today — Explica la subida del día sin información nueva material; refleja el momentum positivo ya en el precio.
  • Humana Stock Jumps. Why It Could Be a Big Winner in Next Medicare Star Ratings. — Las calificaciones de estrellas de Medicare son clave para los ingresos de Humana; una mejora esperada podría impulsar los ingresos por prima, pero aún no confirmada.
  • Sector Update: Healthcare Stocks Higher Late Afternoon — Actualización sectorial genérica sin información específica sobre Humana.
  • Humana surges: Barclays bets big on Medicare star ratings rebound — El respaldo de Barclays a una recuperación en las calificaciones de estrellas es una señal positiva material, aunque depende de la confirmación oficial.

Verdict: Hold; positive momentum and expectations of improved star ratings are encouraging, but valuation and margin limit upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is dependence on Medicare star ratings and regulatory changes in payment rates, which can significantly affect revenue and margins.

Other Healthcare companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.