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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Merck & MRK

United States Healthcare
5.6/10
AI Analyst score
148.78 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 153.65 (+3.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the new FDA approval and strong momentum are positive, but the high dependence on Keytruda and unsustainable payout warrant caution.

Merck & Company is a global pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative medicines (such as Keytruda) and vaccines, with a business model based on intensive R&D and sales through prescription and distribution channels. Merck shows exceptional momentum (93.24) and an attractive forward valuation (forward P/E 15.61), but its financial health is weighed down by a negative operating margin and an unsustainable payout, while dependence on Keytruda remains the main structural challenge.

Financial health
4.9
Quality / Moat
4.6
Valuation
4.5
Growth
5.7
Dividend
2.7
Momentum
9.8
Risk & Context
8.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E119.02
Fwd P/E15.61
EV/EBITDA14.34
P/B8.76
P/S5.51
PEG2.72
Market cap367.07 B USD
Enterprise value413.89 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-0.2%
Gross margin75.90%
FCF conversion53%
Operating margin-0.24%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE6.96%
ROA11.87%
Net margin4.77%
FCF15.17 B USD
FCF yield4.13%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt53.91 B USD
Net debt46.77 B USD
Cash7.14 B USD
EBITDA28.87 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.62
D/E128.41
Current ratio1.32
Quick ratio0.74
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.10%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)1.25 USD
EPS (Fwd)9.53 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.29%
Payout268.8%
Beta0.23
Analyst consensusBuy (26)
Target price153.65 USD
52-week range78.03 USD – 156.92 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The loss of exclusivity for Keytruda at the end of the decade, which represents a significant portion of revenue and profits, without a clear replacement in the pipeline.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Merck & Company is a global pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative medicines (such as Keytruda) and vaccines, with a business model based on intensive R&D and sales through prescription and distribution channels. Merck shows exceptional momentum (93.24) and an attractive forward valuation (forward P/E 15.61), but its financial health is weighed down by a negative operating margin and an unsustainable payout, while dependence on Keytruda remains the main structural challenge.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.9
Quality / Moat4.6
Valuation4.5
Growth5.7
Dividend2.7
Momentum9.8
Risk & Context8.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.6/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in the US due to drug pricing pressure and patent litigation, especially the loss of Keytruda exclusivity later this decade. The new FDA approval partially mitigates this risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Merck Is Up 40% This Year, but Is the Keytruda Rebuild Already Priced In? — Cuestiona si el fuerte repunte de la acción ya descuenta el futuro post-patente de Keytruda, un riesgo conocido pero que el mercado sigue debatiendo.
  • Merck (MRK) Stock May Be 37% Undervalued On Fresh FDA Approval — Una nueva aprobación de la FDA refuerza la cartera de productos y mitiga la dependencia de Keytruda, con impacto material en la valoración.
  • MRNA Stock Eyes Best Year Ever: Analyst Calls China’s AI Drug Lead ‘Baseless’ As Moderna Awaits Cancer Data — Noticia sobre Moderna, un competidor, sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de Merck.
  • Why Moderna (MRNA) Is Up 29.1% After Melanoma Vaccine Success And Middle East Expansion Talks — Noticia sobre Moderna, sin impacto directo en Merck.
  • Is LLY Stock Cheaper Than It Looks? — Análisis sobre Eli Lilly, un competidor, sin información nueva sobre Merck.

Verdict: Hold; the new FDA approval and strong momentum are positive, but the high dependence on Keytruda and unsustainable payout warrant caution.

Main risk: The loss of exclusivity for Keytruda at the end of the decade, which represents a significant portion of revenue and profits, without a clear replacement in the pipeline.

Other Healthcare companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.