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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Imperial Oil IMO

Canada Energy
6.7/10
AI Analyst score
122.86 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 107.31 (-12.7%)
🛒 Where to buy IMOPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, given the solid balance sheet and business quality, but with caution due to the potential reversal of the oil cycle.

Imperial Oil is a Canadian integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, with a strong presence in the oil sands industry. Imperial Oil presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.17) and high quality (ROIC 34.12%), but its 143% earnings growth reflects the peak of the oil cycle, introducing a risk of future normalization.

Financial health
7.5
Quality / Moat
6.7
Valuation
5.5
Growth
7.2
Dividend
6.4
Momentum
7.2
Risk & Context
7.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E20.34
Fwd P/E14.12
EV/EBITDA10.72
P/B3.89
P/S1.67
PEG5.18
Market cap61.09 B USD
Enterprise value87.83 B CAD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)34.1%
Gross margin18.06%
FCF conversion56%
Operating margin17.48%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE16.80%
ROA8.15%
Net margin8.06%
FCF4.59 B CAD
FCF yield5.31%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt4.20 B CAD
Net debt1.36 B CAD
Cash2.84 B CAD
EBITDA8.19 B CAD
Net debt / EBITDA0.17
D/E17.11
Current ratio1.38
Quick ratio1.09
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth42.60%
Earnings growth143.00%
EPS (TTM)6.04 USD
EPS (Fwd)8.70 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.04%
Payout37.2%
Beta0.81
Analyst consensusunderperform (1)
Target price107.31 USD
52-week range83.27 USD – 139.44 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high exposure to oil prices: a decline, whether due to a geopolitical agreement that defuses the Hormuz risk premium or a global slowdown, would directly impact its earnings and valuation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Imperial Oil is a Canadian integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas, with a strong presence in the oil sands industry. Imperial Oil presents solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.17) and high quality (ROIC 34.12%), but its 143% earnings growth reflects the peak of the oil cycle, introducing a risk of future normalization.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.5
Quality / Moat6.7
Valuation5.5
Growth7.2
Dividend6.4
Momentum7.2
Risk & Context7.0

OVERALL SCORE: 6.7/10

Context and risks

Imperial Oil is an integrated oil producer, so the sharp rise in crude directly benefits its upstream segment. However, the escalation in Hormuz and the possibility of a sudden agreement that crashes oil prices create a relevant risk asymmetry for a company with high exposure to oil prices.

News considered in the analysis

  • Imperial Oil (TSX:IMO) Stock Looks Like A Bargain On Cash Flow — Artículo de análisis que destaca la generación de flujo de caja, refuerza la tesis de valor pero no aporta información nueva material.
  • Imperial Oil Stock Rises 49% YTD: Time to Hold or Lock in Profits? — Comentario sobre la revalorización de la acción, sin información nueva sobre fundamentales.
  • How Cenovus' Low-Cost Base and Downstream Integration Offer Resilience — Noticia sobre un competidor (Cenovus), no aporta información directa sobre Imperial Oil.
  • CVE Rallies 13.7% in the Past Month. Can the Stock Keep Climbing? — Análisis de un competidor, sin impacto directo en Imperial Oil.
  • Canada's oil producers target late 2027 for Pathways carbon capture decision — El proyecto Pathways de captura de carbono, en el que Imperial Oil participa, implica inversiones significativas y un posible aumento de costes regulatorios, aunque la decisión final se pospone a 2027.

Verdict: Hold, given the solid balance sheet and business quality, but with caution due to the potential reversal of the oil cycle.

Main risk: The main risk is the high exposure to oil prices: a decline, whether due to a geopolitical agreement that defuses the Hormuz risk premium or a global slowdown, would directly impact its earnings and valuation.

Other Energy companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.