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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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MP Materials MP

United States Basic Materials
2.8/10
AI Analyst score
48.83 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 74.29 (+52.1%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold only for investors with high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon; execution in the magnets segment is key, but current valuation and quality do not justify entry.

MP Materials extracts and processes rare earths at Mountain Pass, USA, focusing on magnets for electric vehicles, defense, and aerospace. MP Materials is executing its vertical integration strategy with the first magnet shipment to GM, but it does so from a weak financial position (operating margin -14.72%, ROIC -2.08%) and with an extremely demanding valuation (forward P/E 55.88, EV/EBITDA 212.39) that discounts very optimistic future growth.

Financial health
7.2
Quality / Moat
2.0
Valuation
0.3
Growth
10.0
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
0.6
Risk & Context
0.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E55.88
EV/EBITDA212.39
P/B4.44
P/S20.89
PEGN/D
Market cap8.70 B USD
Enterprise value8.64 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-2.1%
Gross margin42.33%
FCF conversion-1064%
Operating margin-14.72%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-3.58%
ROA-1.52%
Net margin-14.56%
FCF-432.9 M USD
FCF yield-4.98%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt981.6 M USD
Net debt-471.0 M USD
Cash1.45 B USD
EBITDA40.7 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA-11.58
D/E41.40
Current ratio9.51
Quick ratio8.44
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth119.70%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)-0.33 USD
EPS (Fwd)0.87 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.95
Analyst consensusStrong buy (17)
Target price74.29 USD
52-week range37.81 USD – 100.25 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the extreme valuation: with an EV/EBITDA of 212.39 and a negative operating margin, any delay in the magnet production ramp-up or a cooling of sentiment on rare earths could trigger a sharp drop in the stock.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

MP Materials extracts and processes rare earths at Mountain Pass, USA, focusing on magnets for electric vehicles, defense, and aerospace. MP Materials is executing its vertical integration strategy with the first magnet shipment to GM, but it does so from a weak financial position (operating margin -14.72%, ROIC -2.08%) and with an extremely demanding valuation (forward P/E 55.88, EV/EBITDA 212.39) that discounts very optimistic future growth.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.2
Quality / Moat2.0
Valuation0.3
Growth10.0
Dividend1.5
Momentum0.6
Risk & Context0.8

OVERALL SCORE: 2.8/10

Context and risks

High geopolitical exposure: MP Materials is a key player in the rare earth supply chain, a critical sector in the US-China rivalry. The dispute over a Chinese shareholder and potential dependence on government subsidies or contracts (defense, aerospace) add regulatory and industrial policy risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • MP Materials Ships Its First Magnets to GM in Q4. This is What The Milestone Is Worth. — Hito clave: primer envío de imanes a GM valida la integración vertical y el plan de crecimiento, aunque el mercado aún no ha descontado plenamente su valor.
  • MP Materials (MP) Faces a Disputed China Shareholder Report. Does the 3% Stake Matter? — Informe disputado sobre un accionista chino con una participación del 3% genera incertidumbre sobre la gobernanza y posibles implicaciones regulatorias, aunque el impacto real es limitado.
  • Can Energy Fuels Build a Strong Rare Earth Growth Platform? — Artículo sobre un competidor, sin información nueva sobre MP Materials.
  • MP Materials' Magnetics Segment: Can It Unlock the Next Growth Phase? — Análisis del segmento de imanes, que refuerza la tesis de crecimiento a largo plazo, pero sin catalizadores concretos a corto plazo.
  • Critical Metals And 2 Rare Earth Stocks To Watch — Listículo genérico sin información nueva.

Verdict: Hold only for investors with high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon; execution in the magnets segment is key, but current valuation and quality do not justify entry.

Main risk: The main risk is the extreme valuation: with an EV/EBITDA of 212.39 and a negative operating margin, any delay in the magnet production ramp-up or a cooling of sentiment on rare earths could trigger a sharp drop in the stock.

Other Basic Materials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.