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Nike NKE

United States Consumer Cyclical
6.1/10
AI Analyst score
35.75 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 46.74 (+30.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold ahead of the October 1 earnings release; business weakness and negative momentum suggest the stock could continue to fall.

Nike is a US multinational that designs, develops, and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories, operating through own stores, retail, and e-commerce. Nike trades at a P/E of 17.02 and a dividend yield of 4.59%, but the -1.1% revenue decline and momentum of -41.61% reflect a deteriorating business that does not justify the current multiple.

Financial health
7.2
Quality / Moat
7.0
Valuation
6.2
Growth
6.4
Dividend
7.2
Momentum
1.2
Risk & Context
5.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E17.02
Fwd P/E16.24
EV/EBITDA11.17
P/B3.57
P/S1.14
PEG1.40
Market cap53.04 B USD
Enterprise value55.05 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)22.7%
Gross margin43.24%
FCF conversion38%
Operating margin12.69%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE22.14%
ROA6.97%
Net margin6.70%
FCF1.89 B USD
FCF yield3.56%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt11.04 B USD
Net debt2.02 B USD
Cash9.03 B USD
EBITDA4.93 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.41
D/E74.29
Current ratio1.96
Quick ratio1.19
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-1.10%
Earnings growth428.00%
EPS (TTM)2.10 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.21 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.59%
Payout77.6%
Beta1.11
Analyst consensusHold (36)
Target price46.74 USD
52-week range35.22 USD – 76.97 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the sustained revenue decline (-1.1%) and deteriorating momentum (-41.61%), indicating market share losses to more agile competitors.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Nike is a US multinational that designs, develops, and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories, operating through own stores, retail, and e-commerce. Nike trades at a P/E of 17.02 and a dividend yield of 4.59%, but the -1.1% revenue decline and momentum of -41.61% reflect a deteriorating business that does not justify the current multiple.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.2
Quality / Moat7.0
Valuation6.2
Growth6.4
Dividend7.2
Momentum1.2
Risk & Context5.8

OVERALL SCORE: 6.1/10

Context and risks

The oil price spike and rising 10-year Treasury yields do not materially affect Nike, as energy costs are a small part of its cost structure. Weak discretionary spending is a business risk already reflected in the -1.1% revenue decline.

News considered in the analysis

  • Why Did NKE, PEP, FRMI Stocks Dip To 52-Week Lows Last Week? — La caída a mínimos de 52 semanas refleja la debilidad actual del negocio y la presión sobre el consumo discrecional, un hecho ya ocurrido y parcialmente descontado por el mercado.
  • Nike Is Down 77% From Its Peak. Should You Buy Before It Reports Earnings on Oct. 1? — La caída del 77% desde máximos y la inminente publicación de resultados generan incertidumbre sobre la capacidad de recuperación, con el mercado ya descontando parte de las malas noticias.
  • Jobs, Inflation, Nike, Carmax, Micron, and More to Watch This Week — Mención genérica a la publicación de resultados, sin información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • 2 key checks for the AI trade and the economy: What to watch this week — Titular general sobre IA y economía, sin impacto directo en Nike.
  • Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Fall As Oil Spikes On Trump’s Snub To Iran: MU, NVDA, SKHY, SPCX, NIO Stocks In Focus — La subida del petróleo y la caída de futuros afectan a otros sectores, no directamente a Nike.

Verdict: Hold ahead of the October 1 earnings release; business weakness and negative momentum suggest the stock could continue to fall.

Main risk: The main risk is the sustained revenue decline (-1.1%) and deteriorating momentum (-41.61%), indicating market share losses to more agile competitors.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.