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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Texas Roadhouse TXRH

United States Consumer Cyclical
6.0/10
AI Analyst score
159.75 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 218.83 (+37.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: business quality is solid, but margin compression from beef costs and a demanding valuation (25.56x P/E) limit near-term upside.

Texas Roadhouse is a casual dining steakhouse chain that operates and franchises restaurants in the United States and internationally, focused on beef cuts and a high-volume atmosphere. Texas Roadhouse combines a 27.71% ROE and 20.21% ROIC with 11.10% revenue growth, but earnings are down -0.50% due to beef cost pressure, squeezing an already thin 8.51% operating margin.

Financial health
4.8
Quality / Moat
5.9
Valuation
5.4
Growth
5.3
Dividend
6.7
Momentum
7.6
Risk & Context
7.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E25.56
Fwd P/E20.54
EV/EBITDA16.15
P/B6.82
P/S1.68
PEG1.59
Market cap10.49 B USD
Enterprise value11.39 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)20.2%
Gross margin16.25%
FCF conversion33%
Operating margin8.51%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE27.71%
ROA8.72%
Net margin6.63%
FCF235.9 M USD
FCF yield2.25%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt1.09 B USD
Net debt885.1 M USD
Cash202.4 M USD
EBITDA705.4 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.25
D/E68.84
Current ratio0.46
Quick ratio0.35
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth11.10%
Earnings growth-0.50%
EPS (TTM)6.25 USD
EPS (Fwd)7.78 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.88%
Payout45.8%
Beta0.79
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price218.83 USD
52-week range153.83 USD – 216.30 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Exposure to beef costs, which with an 8.51% operating margin could further compress earnings if beef prices keep rising.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Texas Roadhouse is a casual dining steakhouse chain that operates and franchises restaurants in the United States and internationally, focused on beef cuts and a high-volume atmosphere. Texas Roadhouse combines a 27.71% ROE and 20.21% ROIC with 11.10% revenue growth, but earnings are down -0.50% due to beef cost pressure, squeezing an already thin 8.51% operating margin.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.8
Quality / Moat5.9
Valuation5.4
Growth5.3
Dividend6.7
Momentum7.6
Risk & Context7.4

OVERALL SCORE: 6.0/10

Context and risks

No material exposure to the macro context: the crude rally does not directly affect a casual dining chain, and the 10-year yield rise has limited effect given its low leverage (ND/EBITDA 1.25). The main risk is sector-specific: beef costs.

News considered in the analysis

  • Despite Record Sales, Texas Roadhouse Has Beef With Beef Costs — Los costes de la carne de vacuno presionan el margen operativo (8.51%), un riesgo material para una parrilla cuyo insumo principal es el beef.
  • CAVA vs. Texas Roadhouse: Which Restaurant Stock Has the Edge? — Comparativa genérica entre dos valores de restauración sin información nueva sobre TXRH.
  • Darden Misses First-Quarter Revenue Views, Maintains Full-Year Outlook — Noticia de un competidor (Darden) sin impacto directo demostrable en los fundamentales de Texas Roadhouse.
  • Your McDonald's Stock Thesis Has One Loose End — Análisis de McDonald's, sin relevancia material para TXRH.
  • One Reason McDonald's Stock Looks Better Than Its Price — Opinión sobre McDonald's, sin información nueva sobre Texas Roadhouse.

Verdict: Hold: business quality is solid, but margin compression from beef costs and a demanding valuation (25.56x P/E) limit near-term upside.

Main risk: Exposure to beef costs, which with an 8.51% operating margin could further compress earnings if beef prices keep rising.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.