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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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O'Reilly Automotive ORLY

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
86.11 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 107.88 (+25.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: business quality and growth justify a premium, but current valuation and weak momentum do not offer enough margin of safety to buy.

US retail chain of automotive parts and accessories, with a model of company-owned stores and sales to professionals and individuals. O'Reilly Automotive shows a high-quality business with a gross margin of 51.64% and operating margin of 20.15%, supported by revenue growth of 8.1% and earnings growth of 10.3%. However, its valuation is demanding (P/E 27.34, EV/EBITDA 18.94) and momentum is weak (-16.59% over 12 months), limiting near-term appeal.

Financial health
5.7
Quality / Moat
6.3
Valuation
4.1
Growth
6.3
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
2.6
Risk & Context
8.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E27.34
Fwd P/E23.58
EV/EBITDA18.94
P/B-38.29
P/S3.75
PEG1.61
Market cap69.66 B USD
Enterprise value78.99 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)N/D
Gross margin51.64%
FCF conversion38%
Operating margin20.15%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROEN/D
ROA13.67%
Net margin14.27%
FCF1.57 B USD
FCF yield2.25%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.59 B USD
Net debt9.33 B USD
Cash262.2 M USD
EBITDA4.17 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.24
D/EN/D
Current ratio0.75
Quick ratio0.09
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth8.10%
Earnings growth10.30%
EPS (TTM)3.15 USD
EPS (Fwd)3.65 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.52
Analyst consensusBuy (25)
Target price107.88 USD
52-week range82.59 USD – 108.72 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 27.34, EV/EBITDA 18.94) in a rising rate environment, which could compress the multiple if growth decelerates or market sentiment deteriorates.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

US retail chain of automotive parts and accessories, with a model of company-owned stores and sales to professionals and individuals. O'Reilly Automotive shows a high-quality business with a gross margin of 51.64% and operating margin of 20.15%, supported by revenue growth of 8.1% and earnings growth of 10.3%. However, its valuation is demanding (P/E 27.34, EV/EBITDA 18.94) and momentum is weak (-16.59% over 12 months), limiting near-term appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.7
Quality / Moat6.3
Valuation4.1
Growth6.3
Dividend1.5
Momentum2.6
Risk & Context8.4

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect O'Reilly's business: it is an auto parts retailer with demand tied to the age of the vehicle fleet, not to rates or energy. Its net debt/EBITDA of 2.24 is moderate and its P/E of 27.34 is not of extreme duration, so the rise in rates has no significant direct impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • America’s Cars Keep Getting Older. These 4 Auto Parts Stocks Get Paid — La tendencia estructural de envejecimiento del parque automovilístico estadounidense favorece la demanda de repuestos, un viento de cola para el negocio de O'Reilly.
  • AutoZone Stock Has One Thing Left To Prove — Artículo sobre un competidor directo (AutoZone) sin información nueva sobre O'Reilly.
  • This Perennial Winner Is Down 20% From Its All-Time High. History Says It Can Double in the Next 5 Years. — Opinión genérica de Motley Fool sobre una acción no identificada; sin información accionable.
  • 2 Large-Cap Stocks with Exciting Potential and 1 Facing Headwinds — Listículo sin análisis específico de O'Reilly.
  • 1 Profitable Stock to Target This Week and 2 We Question — Listículo sin información nueva sobre O'Reilly.

Verdict: Hold: business quality and growth justify a premium, but current valuation and weak momentum do not offer enough margin of safety to buy.

Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 27.34, EV/EBITDA 18.94) in a rising rate environment, which could compress the multiple if growth decelerates or market sentiment deteriorates.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.