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Swatch Group UHR.SW

Switzerland Consumer Cyclical
5.3/10
AI Analyst score
184.75 CHF
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 168.83 (-8.6%)
🛒 Where to buy UHR.SWPartner brokers · Switzerland · sample 200.00 € orderSwitzerland
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; earnings recovery and Kepler's upgrade support a re-rating, but the demanding valuation limits upside potential in the short term.

Swatch Group is a Swiss luxury watch and jewelry manufacturer, with brands like Omega, Longines and Tissot, selling through its own retail network and distributors. Swatch Group shows solid financial health with net cash (DN/EBITDA -2.27) and a gross margin of 81.41%, although its current valuation (PER 1154.69) reflects recovery expectations; revenue growth of 2% and momentum of 25.49% suggest an ongoing re-rating.

Financial health
6.5
Quality / Moat
4.2
Valuation
4.8
Growth
4.8
Dividend
2.4
Momentum
7.8
Risk & Context
6.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E1154.69
Fwd P/E25.07
EV/EBITDA17.18
P/B0.83
P/S1.51
PEG0.07
Market cap9.61 B CHF
Enterprise value8.51 B CHF
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)0.9%
Gross margin81.41%
FCF conversion54%
Operating margin1.67%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE0.21%
ROA0.55%
Net margin0.14%
FCF265.2 M CHF
FCF yield2.76%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt236.0 M CHF
Net debt-1.12 B CHF
Cash1.36 B CHF
EBITDA495.0 M CHF
Net debt / EBITDA-2.27
D/E2.05
Current ratio7.70
Quick ratio1.56
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth2.00%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)0.16 CHF
EPS (Fwd)7.37 CHF
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.44%
Payout2647.1%
Beta0.82
Analyst consensusHold (19)
Target price168.83 CHF
52-week range148.35 CHF – 223.10 CHF
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on discretionary luxury spending and normalization of the pre-owned market could pressure demand for new watches, affecting margin recovery.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Swatch Group is a Swiss luxury watch and jewelry manufacturer, with brands like Omega, Longines and Tissot, selling through its own retail network and distributors. Swatch Group shows solid financial health with net cash (DN/EBITDA -2.27) and a gross margin of 81.41%, although its current valuation (PER 1154.69) reflects recovery expectations; revenue growth of 2% and momentum of 25.49% suggest an ongoing re-rating.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.5
Quality / Moat4.2
Valuation4.8
Growth4.8
Dividend2.4
Momentum7.8
Risk & Context6.8

OVERALL SCORE: 5.3/10

Context and risks

Exposure to the luxury market with demand dependent on consumer confidence; rising US rates and a strong dollar may moderate discretionary spending in key markets, although Asian demand and margin recovery mitigate the impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • Kepler upgrades Swatch to Buy, sees earnings recovery driving re-rating — Upgrade de analista con tesis de recuperación de beneficios; señal moderada que refuerza el momentum.
  • Swatch Group (SWX:UHR) Stock Still Looks Cheap On Its 25% Run — Artículo de opinión sin información nueva; no aporta dato material.
  • What to Watch: The Shift From Hype to Healthy for Pre-owned Watches — Normalización del mercado de segunda mano puede presionar la demanda de relojes nuevos; riesgo sectorial moderado.
  • ⚡Flash Heard: Swiss Luxury Watches Are on U.S. Time Now — Posible cambio de demanda hacia el mercado estadounidense, relevante para la estrategia comercial de Swatch.
  • Stocks to Watch: GM, BAE Systems, Novartis, Swatch — Mención genérica en lista de seguimiento; sin información nueva.

Verdict: Hold; earnings recovery and Kepler's upgrade support a re-rating, but the demanding valuation limits upside potential in the short term.

Main risk: Dependence on discretionary luxury spending and normalization of the pre-owned market could pressure demand for new watches, affecting margin recovery.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.