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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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PulteGroup PHM

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.4/10
AI Analyst score
119.85 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 140.80 (+17.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The valuation is attractive, but the operating trend is negative and the high interest rate environment does not favor a near-term reacceleration.

Homebuilder of single-family houses in the US, with entry-level, mid-range, and high-end segments. PulteGroup trades at a P/E of 12.24 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.57, but the decline in revenue (-9.6%) and earnings (-18.2%) reflects a weak demand environment. Its balance sheet is solid (ND/EBITDA of 0.42), but the business is in a clearly contractionary phase of the cycle.

Financial health
7.5
Quality / Moat
5.6
Valuation
7.5
Growth
1.1
Dividend
3.6
Momentum
5.7
Risk & Context
4.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E12.24
Fwd P/E10.87
EV/EBITDA8.57
P/B1.73
P/S1.39
PEG1.00
Market cap22.83 B USD
Enterprise value23.61 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)16.4%
Gross margin25.56%
FCF conversion39%
Operating margin15.69%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE14.90%
ROA9.21%
Net margin11.62%
FCF1.08 B USD
FCF yield4.72%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt2.48 B USD
Net debt1.14 B USD
Cash1.34 B USD
EBITDA2.75 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.42
D/E19.07
Current ratio7.27
Quick ratio0.61
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-9.60%
Earnings growth-18.20%
EPS (TTM)9.79 USD
EPS (Fwd)11.03 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.87%
Payout10.2%
Beta1.20
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Target price140.80 USD
52-week range108.49 USD – 144.50 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the business's sensitivity to mortgage rates: if the rise in Treasury yields persists, housing demand could continue to weaken and accelerate the decline in revenue and earnings.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Homebuilder of single-family houses in the US, with entry-level, mid-range, and high-end segments. PulteGroup trades at a P/E of 12.24 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.57, but the decline in revenue (-9.6%) and earnings (-18.2%) reflects a weak demand environment. Its balance sheet is solid (ND/EBITDA of 0.42), but the business is in a clearly contractionary phase of the cycle.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.5
Quality / Moat5.6
Valuation7.5
Growth1.1
Dividend3.6
Momentum5.7
Risk & Context4.8

OVERALL SCORE: 5.4/10

Context and risks

The sharp rise in 10-year yields (5.17%) is a direct headwind for housing demand, as it makes mortgages more expensive. With revenue falling -9.6% and earnings -18.2%, PulteGroup is already feeling the impact of reduced affordability, which exacerbates the risk of a deeper downturn in the sector.

News considered in the analysis

  • Can PulteGroup (PHM) Trade At A Discount After A 172% Run? — Artículo de opinión de Simply Wall St. sobre valoración relativa; sin información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Moves 2.79%: What You Should Know — Movimiento de precio diario sin catalizador fundamental identificable; ruido de mercado.
  • Worthington Enterprises (WOR) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates — Noticia sobre otra empresa (Worthington Enterprises), no relacionada con PulteGroup.
  • Investors Heavily Search PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM): Here is What You Need to Know — Artículo de Zacks de carácter general, sin información sustantiva nueva.
  • Is Lennar Stock Really On Sale? — Análisis sobre un competidor directo (Lennar), sin implicación directa para PulteGroup.

Verdict: Hold. The valuation is attractive, but the operating trend is negative and the high interest rate environment does not favor a near-term reacceleration.

Main risk: The main risk is the business's sensitivity to mortgage rates: if the rise in Treasury yields persists, housing demand could continue to weaken and accelerate the decline in revenue and earnings.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.