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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Shopify SHOP

Canada Technology
5.2/10
AI Analyst score
142.25 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 172.77 (+21.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; strong growth and strategic partnerships (Meta, Tailwind) are positive, but the demanding valuation limits near-term upside potential.

Shopify is an e-commerce platform that enables businesses of all sizes to create online stores, manage sales and payments, and operate across multiple channels. Shopify shows exceptional growth (revenue +33.7%, earnings +68.1%) and solid financial health with net cash, but its valuation is extreme (P/E 96.11, EV/EBITDA 74.43), making it vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Financial health
7.9
Quality / Moat
7.1
Valuation
1.8
Growth
9.4
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
7.1
Risk & Context
0.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E96.11
Fwd P/E58.05
EV/EBITDA74.43
P/B14.46
P/S13.79
PEG1.73
Market cap184.59 B USD
Enterprise value178.26 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)18.1%
Gross margin47.77%
FCF conversion66%
Operating margin17.55%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE15.54%
ROA10.19%
Net margin14.53%
FCF1.59 B USD
FCF yield0.86%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt178.0 M USD
Net debt-4.77 B USD
Cash4.95 B USD
EBITDA2.40 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA-1.99
D/E1.40
Current ratio5.35
Quick ratio3.72
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth33.70%
Earnings growth68.10%
EPS (TTM)1.48 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.45 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta2.62
Analyst consensusBuy (48)
Target price172.77 USD
52-week range94.00 USD – 182.19 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Extreme valuation (P/E 96.11) in a rising rate environment; any growth disappointment could trigger a significant correction.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Shopify is an e-commerce platform that enables businesses of all sizes to create online stores, manage sales and payments, and operate across multiple channels. Shopify shows exceptional growth (revenue +33.7%, earnings +68.1%) and solid financial health with net cash, but its valuation is extreme (P/E 96.11, EV/EBITDA 74.43), making it vulnerable to a rising rate environment.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.9
Quality / Moat7.1
Valuation1.8
Growth9.4
Dividend1.5
Momentum7.1
Risk & Context0.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.2/10

Context and risks

High-duration company (P/E 96) with growth but no earnings (FCF yield 0.86%), vulnerable to the rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%), which reduces the present value of future cash flows. Moderate governance risk in Canada.

News considered in the analysis

  • Shopify (SHOP) Is Up 10.7% After New Meta AI Pact And Tailwind Labs Deal - Has The Bull Case Changed? — Acuerdo con Meta para integrar su IA de comercio 'Muse' y adquisición de Tailwind Labs; refuerza la posición de Shopify en comercio agéntico y amplía su mercado potencial.
  • Shopify Stock Is Up 51% From Its 52-Week Low. Can Agentic Commerce Keep It Climbing? — Artículo que destaca el repunte de la acción y el potencial del comercio agéntico, pero sin información nueva material; el mercado ya ha descontado parte del optimismo.
  • Mark Zuckerberg's Muse Remains Locked Out As Amazon Says Meta Never Got Permission; Cathie Wood's ARK Calls It A 'Great Test' For Loyalty — Noticia sobre la disputa entre Meta y Amazon; no afecta directamente a Shopify.
  • Amazon Opened Seller Central to Walmart and eBay but Blocked Meta’s Muse. Here’s What Connects the Two Moves — Análisis sobre la estrategia de Amazon; no tiene impacto directo en Shopify.
  • Could AI Commerce Reshape Meta (META)’s Business Model? — Artículo especulativo sobre el modelo de negocio de Meta; no aporta información nueva sobre Shopify.

Verdict: Hold; strong growth and strategic partnerships (Meta, Tailwind) are positive, but the demanding valuation limits near-term upside potential.

Main risk: Extreme valuation (P/E 96.11) in a rising rate environment; any growth disappointment could trigger a significant correction.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.